German industry stalls
Registered unemployment is close to three million and industry, the engine of the German model, produces less than before the pandemic. The 500-billion-euro special fund for infrastructure, written into the Basic Law in 2025, is meant to revive investment. Output, orders, exports, unemployment: what the official series show.
Scope: Germany, compared with the European Union: monthly manufacturing production and new orders indices (Destatis), exports by destination, unemployed registered with the Federal Employment Agency, business electricity prices (Eurostat), to the latest data published.
Key points
- Industry produces less. In Sep. 2026, German manufacturing output is 15% below its 2018 average, while the European Union’s has returned to its 2021 level (100.5 in Aug. 2026, 2021 = 100).
- Energy-intensive industries have fallen behind. Chemicals, metals, glass, paper: their output has fallen 20% since 2021 and 22% since 2018. German businesses pay €174/MWh for electricity excluding VAT in H1 2026, against €156/MWh on European average and €124/MWh in France.
- Orders without a lasting recovery. New orders rebounded 4.4% in Sep. 2026 after a sharp fall, but remain 6% below their 2018 level.
- China is buying less. Exports to China fell −13.4% over a year (Jan. 2026 – Sep. 2026); over 2019 – 2025 they were 15% below their 2019 level. Total exports nonetheless grew 4.3%.
- Unemployment above three million. The Federal Employment Agency counts 2.95 million registered unemployed in Oct. 2026; the three-million mark, crossed in Aug. 2025 for the first time since Feb. 2015, has been exceeded 7 months since.
How to read these figures
The output and orders indices measure volumes, 2021 = 100, seasonally and calendar adjusted. Energy-intensive industries are a grouping defined by Destatis (chemicals, metals, glass and ceramics, paper, coke and refining). Orders swing a lot from month to month because of large orders (aircraft, ships): their trend is what matters.
Registered unemployed are those of the Federal Employment Agency, not seasonally adjusted: they rise every winter and fall in spring, hence the comparison with the same month a year earlier (2.91 million in Oct. 2025). This administrative figure differs from the ILO unemployment rate. Exports are in current euros, seasonally adjusted.
1. Output falling since 2018
German manufacturing output has been falling since 2018, with a slump in 2020 and a relapse from 2023, while the European Union’s has stabilised.
Manufacturing output, index 2021 = 100
Germany (Destatis) and the European Union (Eurostat), seasonally and calendar adjusted.
- European Union
- Germany
Source:Statistisches Bundesamt (Destatis), via DBnomicsEurostat
Show the chart data
| Period | Germany | European Union |
|---|---|---|
| Jan. 2015 | 101.4 | 90.1 |
| Feb. 2015 | 102.2 | 92.1 |
| Mar. 2015 | 102.1 | 92.5 |
| Apr. 2015 | 103.1 | 92.0 |
| May 2015 | 103.5 | 92.6 |
| Jun. 2015 | 103.2 | 93.1 |
| Jul. 2015 | 104.7 | 93.3 |
| Aug. 2015 | 102.1 | 92.8 |
| Sep. 2015 | 102.2 | 92.9 |
| Oct. 2015 | 103.3 | 93.0 |
| Nov. 2015 | 102.0 | 92.8 |
| Dec. 2015 | 102.6 | 93.3 |
| Jan. 2016 | 104.3 | 94.9 |
| Feb. 2016 | 104.2 | 93.3 |
| Mar. 2016 | 103.2 | 92.5 |
| Apr. 2016 | 104.0 | 94.2 |
| May 2016 | 102.1 | 92.7 |
| Jun. 2016 | 104.2 | 93.7 |
| Jul. 2016 | 102.7 | 93.6 |
| Aug. 2016 | 104.3 | 93.6 |
| Sep. 2016 | 104.0 | 93.9 |
| Oct. 2016 | 104.9 | 94.5 |
| Nov. 2016 | 104.5 | 94.9 |
| Dec. 2016 | 102.2 | 94.6 |
| Jan. 2017 | 103.9 | 94.4 |
| Feb. 2017 | 105.0 | 95.6 |
| Mar. 2017 | 104.7 | 95.9 |
| Apr. 2017 | 106.2 | 96.2 |
| May 2017 | 106.4 | 96.9 |
| Jun. 2017 | 106.4 | 96.6 |
| Jul. 2017 | 107.2 | 97.6 |
| Aug. 2017 | 109.5 | 98.4 |
| Sep. 2017 | 108.6 | 98.2 |
| Oct. 2017 | 106.9 | 98.4 |
| Nov. 2017 | 110.8 | 100.9 |
| Dec. 2017 | 110.1 | 100.8 |
| Jan. 2018 | 109.7 | 99.8 |
| Feb. 2018 | 107.4 | 98.0 |
| Mar. 2018 | 109.0 | 98.2 |
| Apr. 2018 | 108.6 | 98.7 |
| May 2018 | 110.4 | 100.0 |
| Jun. 2018 | 109.8 | 99.9 |
| Jul. 2018 | 107.7 | 98.5 |
| Aug. 2018 | 108.9 | 99.6 |
| Sep. 2018 | 108.1 | 98.9 |
| Oct. 2018 | 108.0 | 99.5 |
| Nov. 2018 | 105.9 | 98.2 |
| Dec. 2018 | 107.0 | 98.6 |
| Jan. 2019 | 106.8 | 99.3 |
| Feb. 2019 | 106.4 | 99.1 |
| Mar. 2019 | 107.5 | 99.3 |
| Apr. 2019 | 106.0 | 99.2 |
| May 2019 | 106.6 | 99.6 |
| Jun. 2019 | 105.4 | 98.0 |
| Jul. 2019 | 105.0 | 98.2 |
| Aug. 2019 | 105.3 | 98.4 |
| Sep. 2019 | 104.3 | 98.4 |
| Oct. 2019 | 103.6 | 99.0 |
| Nov. 2019 | 103.8 | 97.8 |
| Dec. 2019 | 101.3 | 96.2 |
| Jan. 2020 | 104.6 | 98.7 |
| Feb. 2020 | 105.4 | 98.1 |
| Mar. 2020 | 94.2 | 86.9 |
| Apr. 2020 | 73.3 | 69.6 |
| May 2020 | 82.2 | 79.4 |
| Jun. 2020 | 91.8 | 87.6 |
| Jul. 2020 | 94.2 | 92.2 |
| Aug. 2020 | 93.6 | 93.1 |
| Sep. 2020 | 96.2 | 93.7 |
| Oct. 2020 | 100.0 | 96.0 |
| Nov. 2020 | 101.5 | 99.6 |
| Dec. 2020 | 101.4 | 98.6 |
| Jan. 2021 | 101.9 | 99.8 |
| Feb. 2021 | 99.9 | 98.6 |
| Mar. 2021 | 101.0 | 99.9 |
| Apr. 2021 | 100.8 | 100.4 |
| May 2021 | 99.8 | 99.3 |
| Jun. 2021 | 98.2 | 99.9 |
| Jul. 2021 | 100.6 | 101.6 |
| Aug. 2021 | 94.8 | 99.2 |
| Sep. 2021 | 95.0 | 99.0 |
| Oct. 2021 | 98.9 | 99.2 |
| Nov. 2021 | 99.8 | 100.7 |
| Dec. 2021 | 101.2 | 102.4 |
| Jan. 2022 | 100.9 | 102.1 |
| Feb. 2022 | 100.7 | 102.8 |
| Mar. 2022 | 95.4 | 101.2 |
| Apr. 2022 | 97.2 | 101.0 |
| May 2022 | 98.5 | 103.6 |
| Jun. 2022 | 99.7 | 103.3 |
| Jul. 2022 | 99.4 | 101.8 |
| Aug. 2022 | 98.6 | 103.7 |
| Sep. 2022 | 101.0 | 105.2 |
| Oct. 2022 | 100.4 | 104.3 |
| Nov. 2022 | 100.9 | 105.3 |
| Dec. 2022 | 98.6 | 102.9 |
| Jan. 2023 | 100.1 | 104.5 |
| Feb. 2023 | 102.8 | 105.3 |
| Mar. 2023 | 100.1 | 102.4 |
| Apr. 2023 | 99.3 | 102.5 |
| May 2023 | 100.8 | 103.2 |
| Jun. 2023 | 99.2 | 103.8 |
| Jul. 2023 | 98.1 | 101.0 |
| Aug. 2023 | 98.3 | 100.8 |
| Sep. 2023 | 97.6 | 100.8 |
| Oct. 2023 | 96.7 | 100.1 |
| Nov. 2023 | 96.2 | 101.3 |
| Dec. 2023 | 94.1 | 100.5 |
| Jan. 2024 | 95.0 | 99.8 |
| Feb. 2024 | 96.7 | 100.2 |
| Mar. 2024 | 95.4 | 99.4 |
| Apr. 2024 | 95.8 | 100.3 |
| May 2024 | 92.5 | 98.3 |
| Jun. 2024 | 95.0 | 99.6 |
| Jul. 2024 | 92.6 | 99.3 |
| Aug. 2024 | 94.9 | 99.8 |
| Sep. 2024 | 92.8 | 98.8 |
| Oct. 2024 | 92.9 | 99.4 |
| Nov. 2024 | 93.5 | 99.4 |
| Dec. 2024 | 91.6 | 98.6 |
| Jan. 2025 | 94.1 | 100.4 |
| Feb. 2025 | 93.2 | 101.0 |
| Mar. 2025 | 96.4 | 103.5 |
| Apr. 2025 | 93.4 | 100.6 |
| May 2025 | 93.3 | 101.1 |
| Jun. 2025 | 93.0 | 100.7 |
| Jul. 2025 | 93.5 | 101.0 |
| Aug. 2025 | 91.2 | 101.2 |
| Sep. 2025 | 92.1 | 101.2 |
| Oct. 2025 | 92.3 | 100.8 |
| Nov. 2025 | 93.8 | 101.2 |
| Dec. 2025 | 92.8 | 101.2 |
| Jan. 2026 | 91.8 | 99.2 |
| Feb. 2026 | 91.9 | 100.0 |
| Mar. 2026 | 91.4 | 101.0 |
| Apr. 2026 | 91.5 | 101.3 |
| May 2026 | 92.2 | 101.3 |
| Jun. 2026 | 92.1 | 101.2 |
| Jul. 2026 | 90.1 | 100.7 |
| Aug. 2026 | 90.9 | 100.5 |
| Sep. 2026 | 92.4 | – |
Output by branch in Germany, index 2021 = 100
Energy-intensive industries, chemicals and pharmaceuticals, transport equipment (cars first).
- Transport equipment
- Chemicals and pharmaceuticals
- Energy-intensive industries
Source:Statistisches Bundesamt (Destatis), via DBnomics
Show the chart data
| Period | Energy-intensive industries | Chemicals and pharmaceuticals | Transport equipment |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan. 2015 | 100.0 | 92.9 | 120.8 |
| Feb. 2015 | 100.4 | 93.2 | 125.0 |
| Mar. 2015 | 100.6 | 94.4 | 124.0 |
| Apr. 2015 | 101.2 | 95.2 | 123.7 |
| May 2015 | 100.2 | 94.4 | 127.7 |
| Jun. 2015 | 101.7 | 97.2 | 123.6 |
| Jul. 2015 | 101.0 | 96.0 | 134.0 |
| Aug. 2015 | 101.2 | 96.0 | 123.3 |
| Sep. 2015 | 101.1 | 94.4 | 124.3 |
| Oct. 2015 | 99.7 | 92.9 | 130.1 |
| Nov. 2015 | 100.5 | 95.4 | 123.6 |
| Dec. 2015 | 100.2 | 93.0 | 121.9 |
| Jan. 2016 | 101.1 | 96.4 | 128.6 |
| Feb. 2016 | 102.4 | 96.1 | 125.9 |
| Mar. 2016 | 101.1 | 94.5 | 125.0 |
| Apr. 2016 | 99.9 | 93.3 | 129.9 |
| May 2016 | 101.0 | 96.8 | 120.0 |
| Jun. 2016 | 100.1 | 95.7 | 129.6 |
| Jul. 2016 | 99.6 | 94.4 | 127.8 |
| Aug. 2016 | 101.3 | 97.0 | 130.3 |
| Sep. 2016 | 101.6 | 96.9 | 126.7 |
| Oct. 2016 | 100.5 | 94.7 | 130.7 |
| Nov. 2016 | 100.0 | 95.2 | 123.4 |
| Dec. 2016 | 100.7 | 95.3 | 118.8 |
| Jan. 2017 | 99.5 | 96.0 | 124.5 |
| Feb. 2017 | 100.8 | 95.9 | 124.9 |
| Mar. 2017 | 101.0 | 96.8 | 125.2 |
| Apr. 2017 | 102.6 | 96.4 | 127.1 |
| May 2017 | 100.9 | 94.5 | 128.0 |
| Jun. 2017 | 101.8 | 96.4 | 127.0 |
| Jul. 2017 | 103.2 | 98.4 | 129.2 |
| Aug. 2017 | 104.4 | 100.3 | 141.8 |
| Sep. 2017 | 104.7 | 101.4 | 130.7 |
| Oct. 2017 | 103.7 | 98.4 | 126.7 |
| Nov. 2017 | 105.6 | 103.1 | 133.9 |
| Dec. 2017 | 105.3 | 102.8 | 127.5 |
| Jan. 2018 | 103.1 | 102.2 | 133.3 |
| Feb. 2018 | 101.5 | 101.1 | 124.8 |
| Mar. 2018 | 100.3 | 101.0 | 133.3 |
| Apr. 2018 | 101.4 | 100.2 | 133.3 |
| May 2018 | 104.2 | 106.7 | 131.4 |
| Jun. 2018 | 103.6 | 106.1 | 132.8 |
| Jul. 2018 | 103.1 | 107.5 | 125.5 |
| Aug. 2018 | 101.9 | 106.9 | 125.6 |
| Sep. 2018 | 101.0 | 105.2 | 123.5 |
| Oct. 2018 | 100.0 | 97.2 | 124.9 |
| Nov. 2018 | 99.8 | 93.4 | 121.4 |
| Dec. 2018 | 100.5 | 95.6 | 126.6 |
| Jan. 2019 | 100.8 | 96.9 | 121.5 |
| Feb. 2019 | 100.7 | 95.5 | 124.2 |
| Mar. 2019 | 99.6 | 95.1 | 124.5 |
| Apr. 2019 | 98.8 | 93.9 | 123.5 |
| May 2019 | 98.5 | 95.8 | 130.0 |
| Jun. 2019 | 98.1 | 95.3 | 126.5 |
| Jul. 2019 | 98.2 | 95.1 | 125.3 |
| Aug. 2019 | 98.6 | 92.5 | 126.2 |
| Sep. 2019 | 96.9 | 91.0 | 124.5 |
| Oct. 2019 | 98.1 | 96.7 | 120.7 |
| Nov. 2019 | 96.8 | 94.3 | 121.5 |
| Dec. 2019 | 95.3 | 91.1 | 115.7 |
| Jan. 2020 | 98.5 | 95.8 | 122.0 |
| Feb. 2020 | 101.9 | 101.8 | 123.3 |
| Mar. 2020 | 96.6 | 95.4 | 88.2 |
| Apr. 2020 | 86.1 | 92.2 | 30.8 |
| May 2020 | 84.8 | 87.7 | 69.3 |
| Jun. 2020 | 86.7 | 89.4 | 101.2 |
| Jul. 2020 | 90.3 | 92.1 | 111.4 |
| Aug. 2020 | 93.1 | 89.7 | 100.0 |
| Sep. 2020 | 94.3 | 95.3 | 110.0 |
| Oct. 2020 | 97.4 | 96.1 | 119.9 |
| Nov. 2020 | 98.4 | 96.8 | 121.5 |
| Dec. 2020 | 100.3 | 98.9 | 117.7 |
| Jan. 2021 | 99.5 | 97.9 | 110.8 |
| Feb. 2021 | 94.9 | 94.6 | 109.1 |
| Mar. 2021 | 99.5 | 98.5 | 108.8 |
| Apr. 2021 | 99.3 | 97.0 | 106.8 |
| May 2021 | 100.9 | 101.2 | 95.8 |
| Jun. 2021 | 98.8 | 98.6 | 92.0 |
| Jul. 2021 | 98.3 | 98.9 | 100.5 |
| Aug. 2021 | 98.4 | 99.2 | 76.2 |
| Sep. 2021 | 99.8 | 101.9 | 81.7 |
| Oct. 2021 | 100.8 | 100.8 | 96.5 |
| Nov. 2021 | 101.6 | 103.5 | 100.8 |
| Dec. 2021 | 103.3 | 103.7 | 105.3 |
| Jan. 2022 | 100.9 | 99.4 | 102.8 |
| Feb. 2022 | 98.6 | 100.6 | 102.6 |
| Mar. 2022 | 97.8 | 100.6 | 83.6 |
| Apr. 2022 | 97.7 | 96.4 | 94.4 |
| May 2022 | 95.4 | 93.7 | 99.5 |
| Jun. 2022 | 96.0 | 93.0 | 103.0 |
| Jul. 2022 | 94.1 | 91.5 | 104.1 |
| Aug. 2022 | 91.8 | 91.5 | 101.4 |
| Sep. 2022 | 91.9 | 95.5 | 111.5 |
| Oct. 2022 | 88.7 | 91.7 | 109.4 |
| Nov. 2022 | 88.3 | 88.8 | 115.0 |
| Dec. 2022 | 84.0 | 87.9 | 113.2 |
| Jan. 2023 | 86.8 | 87.4 | 115.5 |
| Feb. 2023 | 86.8 | 87.4 | 123.2 |
| Mar. 2023 | 85.0 | 86.2 | 117.8 |
| Apr. 2023 | 83.3 | 88.1 | 116.5 |
| May 2023 | 82.7 | 82.8 | 123.2 |
| Jun. 2023 | 82.9 | 86.4 | 115.0 |
| Jul. 2023 | 82.5 | 85.9 | 111.4 |
| Aug. 2023 | 83.1 | 87.0 | 115.3 |
| Sep. 2023 | 83.6 | 85.3 | 113.3 |
| Oct. 2023 | 81.6 | 85.0 | 114.3 |
| Nov. 2023 | 83.0 | 85.6 | 113.1 |
| Dec. 2023 | 79.7 | 82.9 | 110.5 |
| Jan. 2024 | 82.4 | 85.0 | 108.2 |
| Feb. 2024 | 86.1 | 90.1 | 111.4 |
| Mar. 2024 | 85.2 | 89.4 | 108.9 |
| Apr. 2024 | 84.5 | 88.0 | 115.3 |
| May 2024 | 84.7 | 87.2 | 102.8 |
| Jun. 2024 | 86.4 | 89.1 | 109.8 |
| Jul. 2024 | 85.0 | 87.2 | 106.6 |
| Aug. 2024 | 84.1 | 87.5 | 118.3 |
| Sep. 2024 | 81.7 | 84.5 | 109.4 |
| Oct. 2024 | 81.6 | 83.6 | 109.7 |
| Nov. 2024 | 83.4 | 82.8 | 109.4 |
| Dec. 2024 | 81.8 | 85.4 | 99.5 |
| Jan. 2025 | 83.8 | 88.0 | 112.2 |
| Feb. 2025 | 82.6 | 86.4 | 106.7 |
| Mar. 2025 | 84.5 | 93.9 | 112.2 |
| Apr. 2025 | 82.6 | 84.7 | 110.5 |
| May 2025 | 81.5 | 86.0 | 112.3 |
| Jun. 2025 | 81.0 | 84.5 | 110.1 |
| Jul. 2025 | 81.0 | 86.1 | 109.8 |
| Aug. 2025 | 81.5 | 83.5 | 101.0 |
| Sep. 2025 | 81.4 | 85.9 | 107.4 |
| Oct. 2025 | 81.6 | 85.6 | 103.8 |
| Nov. 2025 | 80.5 | 85.9 | 110.6 |
| Dec. 2025 | 80.1 | 85.3 | 104.6 |
| Jan. 2026 | 79.9 | 85.0 | 105.6 |
| Feb. 2026 | 81.0 | 83.6 | 106.7 |
| Mar. 2026 | 81.9 | 83.5 | 107.4 |
| Apr. 2026 | 82.7 | 85.2 | 103.2 |
| May 2026 | 83.2 | 85.8 | 106.1 |
| Jun. 2026 | 81.5 | 85.8 | 109.5 |
| Jul. 2026 | 79.8 | 81.0 | 101.2 |
| Aug. 2026 | 79.2 | 80.8 | 97.7 |
| Sep. 2026 | 79.8 | 84.7 | 111.6 |
New orders in manufacturing, index 2021 = 100
Volume, seasonally and calendar adjusted. Latest month: Sep. 2026.
Source:Statistisches Bundesamt (Destatis), via DBnomics
Show the chart data
| Period | Orders |
|---|---|
| Jan. 2015 | 89.5 |
| Feb. 2015 | 88.2 |
| Mar. 2015 | 88.9 |
| Apr. 2015 | 90.4 |
| May 2015 | 89.4 |
| Jun. 2015 | 91.9 |
| Jul. 2015 | 90.9 |
| Aug. 2015 | 88.9 |
| Sep. 2015 | 87.7 |
| Oct. 2015 | 88.1 |
| Nov. 2015 | 89.2 |
| Dec. 2015 | 87.5 |
| Jan. 2016 | 89.7 |
| Feb. 2016 | 89.0 |
| Mar. 2016 | 90.7 |
| Apr. 2016 | 89.9 |
| May 2016 | 89.6 |
| Jun. 2016 | 89.6 |
| Jul. 2016 | 90.2 |
| Aug. 2016 | 90.5 |
| Sep. 2016 | 89.7 |
| Oct. 2016 | 92.3 |
| Nov. 2016 | 90.7 |
| Dec. 2016 | 94.6 |
| Jan. 2017 | 90.0 |
| Feb. 2017 | 95.1 |
| Mar. 2017 | 94.0 |
| Apr. 2017 | 95.2 |
| May 2017 | 93.6 |
| Jun. 2017 | 94.9 |
| Jul. 2017 | 94.8 |
| Aug. 2017 | 97.8 |
| Sep. 2017 | 98.3 |
| Oct. 2017 | 99.2 |
| Nov. 2017 | 99.0 |
| Dec. 2017 | 101.7 |
| Jan. 2018 | 97.3 |
| Feb. 2018 | 98.5 |
| Mar. 2018 | 96.8 |
| Apr. 2018 | 96.3 |
| May 2018 | 97.8 |
| Jun. 2018 | 95.0 |
| Jul. 2018 | 94.9 |
| Aug. 2018 | 96.1 |
| Sep. 2018 | 96.3 |
| Oct. 2018 | 96.6 |
| Nov. 2018 | 95.4 |
| Dec. 2018 | 97.2 |
| Jan. 2019 | 93.7 |
| Feb. 2019 | 90.3 |
| Mar. 2019 | 91.6 |
| Apr. 2019 | 91.4 |
| May 2019 | 89.6 |
| Jun. 2019 | 91.3 |
| Jul. 2019 | 90.8 |
| Aug. 2019 | 90.1 |
| Sep. 2019 | 91.9 |
| Oct. 2019 | 91.4 |
| Nov. 2019 | 89.9 |
| Dec. 2019 | 88.8 |
| Jan. 2020 | 93.8 |
| Feb. 2020 | 91.6 |
| Mar. 2020 | 77.3 |
| Apr. 2020 | 56.2 |
| May 2020 | 63.1 |
| Jun. 2020 | 81.2 |
| Jul. 2020 | 85.1 |
| Aug. 2020 | 88.6 |
| Sep. 2020 | 91.5 |
| Oct. 2020 | 94.6 |
| Nov. 2020 | 96.5 |
| Dec. 2020 | 94.9 |
| Jan. 2021 | 93.7 |
| Feb. 2021 | 96.3 |
| Mar. 2021 | 99.5 |
| Apr. 2021 | 102.2 |
| May 2021 | 97.7 |
| Jun. 2021 | 103.8 |
| Jul. 2021 | 108.2 |
| Aug. 2021 | 97.4 |
| Sep. 2021 | 100.3 |
| Oct. 2021 | 95.4 |
| Nov. 2021 | 98.6 |
| Dec. 2021 | 100.1 |
| Jan. 2022 | 103.5 |
| Feb. 2022 | 101.2 |
| Mar. 2022 | 95.9 |
| Apr. 2022 | 95.4 |
| May 2022 | 94.6 |
| Jun. 2022 | 94.5 |
| Jul. 2022 | 96.8 |
| Aug. 2022 | 94.0 |
| Sep. 2022 | 91.0 |
| Oct. 2022 | 92.7 |
| Nov. 2022 | 89.0 |
| Dec. 2022 | 90.3 |
| Jan. 2023 | 89.1 |
| Feb. 2023 | 93.3 |
| Mar. 2023 | 85.0 |
| Apr. 2023 | 85.0 |
| May 2023 | 89.6 |
| Jun. 2023 | 96.5 |
| Jul. 2023 | 85.6 |
| Aug. 2023 | 88.1 |
| Sep. 2023 | 86.5 |
| Oct. 2023 | 84.7 |
| Nov. 2023 | 85.4 |
| Dec. 2023 | 95.3 |
| Jan. 2024 | 83.6 |
| Feb. 2024 | 84.3 |
| Mar. 2024 | 83.3 |
| Apr. 2024 | 83.3 |
| May 2024 | 82.2 |
| Jun. 2024 | 86.5 |
| Jul. 2024 | 88.7 |
| Aug. 2024 | 83.8 |
| Sep. 2024 | 89.1 |
| Oct. 2024 | 88.9 |
| Nov. 2024 | 83.9 |
| Dec. 2024 | 88.9 |
| Jan. 2025 | 86.8 |
| Feb. 2025 | 85.7 |
| Mar. 2025 | 87.2 |
| Apr. 2025 | 87.8 |
| May 2025 | 85.8 |
| Jun. 2025 | 86.8 |
| Jul. 2025 | 84.4 |
| Aug. 2025 | 83.5 |
| Sep. 2025 | 87.4 |
| Oct. 2025 | 88.5 |
| Nov. 2025 | 93.3 |
| Dec. 2025 | 98.6 |
| Jan. 2026 | 87.2 |
| Feb. 2026 | 88.6 |
| Mar. 2026 | 92.5 |
| Apr. 2026 | 89.5 |
| May 2026 | 89.8 |
| Jun. 2026 | 93.2 |
| Jul. 2026 | 96.2 |
| Aug. 2026 | 86.5 |
| Sep. 2026 | 90.3 |
2. Expensive energy, lost Chinese markets
Electricity for German businesses remains dearer than the European average, although the gap narrowed in the first half of 2026. At the same time China, a major customer for German cars and machinery, is buying less.
Business electricity prices, euros per MWh
Consumption of 2,000 to 20,000 MWh a year, excluding VAT and recoverable taxes, by half-year.
- EU-27
- France
- Germany
Source:Eurostat
Show the chart data
| Period | Germany | France | EU-27 |
|---|---|---|---|
| H1 2015 | €132/MWh | €90/MWh | €103/MWh |
| H2 2015 | €130/MWh | €85/MWh | €102/MWh |
| H1 2016 | €129/MWh | €79/MWh | €98/MWh |
| H2 2016 | €126/MWh | €76/MWh | €97/MWh |
| H1 2017 | €127/MWh | €78/MWh | €97/MWh |
| H2 2017 | €127/MWh | €74/MWh | €96/MWh |
| H1 2018 | €122/MWh | €77/MWh | €95/MWh |
| H2 2018 | €124/MWh | €72/MWh | €96/MWh |
| H1 2019 | €131/MWh | €84/MWh | €105/MWh |
| H2 2019 | €136/MWh | €79/MWh | €103/MWh |
| H1 2020 | €151/MWh | €85/MWh | €106/MWh |
| H2 2020 | €153/MWh | €81/MWh | €107/MWh |
| H1 2021 | €150/MWh | €87/MWh | €110/MWh |
| H2 2021 | €164/MWh | €88/MWh | €132/MWh |
| H1 2022 | €193/MWh | €125/MWh | €174/MWh |
| H2 2022 | €195/MWh | €114/MWh | €202/MWh |
| H1 2023 | €206/MWh | €224/MWh | €202/MWh |
| H2 2023 | €202/MWh | €203/MWh | €187/MWh |
| H1 2024 | €202/MWh | €141/MWh | €163/MWh |
| H2 2024 | €208/MWh | €145/MWh | €171/MWh |
| H1 2025 | €193/MWh | €130/MWh | €164/MWh |
| H2 2025 | €192/MWh | €121/MWh | €160/MWh |
| H1 2026 | €174/MWh | €124/MWh | €156/MWh |
Exports to the United States and China, each month
Billions of current euros, seasonally adjusted. Total exports in Sep. 2026: €141.1bn.
- China
- United States
Source:Statistisches Bundesamt (Destatis), via DBnomics
Show the chart data
| Period | United States | China |
|---|---|---|
| Jan. 2015 | €8.7bn | €6.1bn |
| Feb. 2015 | €9.2bn | €6.2bn |
| Mar. 2015 | €9.4bn | €6.1bn |
| Apr. 2015 | €10.0bn | €6.3bn |
| May 2015 | €9.7bn | €6.0bn |
| Jun. 2015 | €9.6bn | €5.8bn |
| Jul. 2015 | €9.6bn | €5.9bn |
| Aug. 2015 | €9.3bn | €5.8bn |
| Sep. 2015 | €9.8bn | €5.8bn |
| Oct. 2015 | €9.4bn | €5.5bn |
| Nov. 2015 | €9.0bn | €5.7bn |
| Dec. 2015 | €9.3bn | €5.9bn |
| Jan. 2016 | €8.7bn | €6.0bn |
| Feb. 2016 | €9.0bn | €6.1bn |
| Mar. 2016 | €9.6bn | €5.8bn |
| Apr. 2016 | €8.9bn | €6.3bn |
| May 2016 | €8.4bn | €6.0bn |
| Jun. 2016 | €9.0bn | €6.2bn |
| Jul. 2016 | €8.7bn | €6.3bn |
| Aug. 2016 | €8.6bn | €6.3bn |
| Sep. 2016 | €8.4bn | €6.4bn |
| Oct. 2016 | €8.8bn | €6.6bn |
| Nov. 2016 | €9.2bn | €6.7bn |
| Dec. 2016 | €8.8bn | €6.8bn |
| Jan. 2017 | €9.7bn | €6.7bn |
| Feb. 2017 | €9.6bn | €6.9bn |
| Mar. 2017 | €9.5bn | €6.9bn |
| Apr. 2017 | €9.1bn | €6.6bn |
| May 2017 | €9.5bn | €7.1bn |
| Jun. 2017 | €8.9bn | €6.9bn |
| Jul. 2017 | €9.0bn | €7.2bn |
| Aug. 2017 | €9.2bn | €7.8bn |
| Sep. 2017 | €8.9bn | €7.3bn |
| Oct. 2017 | €9.1bn | €7.3bn |
| Nov. 2017 | €9.7bn | €7.6bn |
| Dec. 2017 | €9.9bn | €7.9bn |
| Jan. 2018 | €9.1bn | €7.7bn |
| Feb. 2018 | €9.1bn | €7.6bn |
| Mar. 2018 | €10.0bn | €7.5bn |
| Apr. 2018 | €9.5bn | €7.4bn |
| May 2018 | €9.1bn | €7.8bn |
| Jun. 2018 | €9.8bn | €7.8bn |
| Jul. 2018 | €9.5bn | €7.5bn |
| Aug. 2018 | €9.6bn | €7.9bn |
| Sep. 2018 | €9.4bn | €8.5bn |
| Oct. 2018 | €9.3bn | €8.2bn |
| Nov. 2018 | €9.6bn | €7.9bn |
| Dec. 2018 | €10.1bn | €8.0bn |
| Jan. 2019 | €10.1bn | €8.1bn |
| Feb. 2019 | €9.3bn | €7.9bn |
| Mar. 2019 | €9.9bn | €8.0bn |
| Apr. 2019 | €10.0bn | €8.3bn |
| May 2019 | €10.2bn | €7.8bn |
| Jun. 2019 | €10.1bn | €7.7bn |
| Jul. 2019 | €10.1bn | €7.9bn |
| Aug. 2019 | €10.3bn | €7.8bn |
| Sep. 2019 | €9.7bn | €7.9bn |
| Oct. 2019 | €10.2bn | €8.3bn |
| Nov. 2019 | €9.7bn | €8.0bn |
| Dec. 2019 | €9.7bn | €9.0bn |
| Jan. 2020 | €9.8bn | €7.8bn |
| Feb. 2020 | €9.9bn | €7.3bn |
| Mar. 2020 | €9.1bn | €6.8bn |
| Apr. 2020 | €6.4bn | €7.2bn |
| May 2020 | €7.0bn | €7.4bn |
| Jun. 2020 | €7.4bn | €8.0bn |
| Jul. 2020 | €8.3bn | €7.9bn |
| Aug. 2020 | €8.3bn | €8.0bn |
| Sep. 2020 | €8.7bn | €8.3bn |
| Oct. 2020 | €9.0bn | €8.2bn |
| Nov. 2020 | €9.1bn | €8.9bn |
| Dec. 2020 | €9.7bn | €9.3bn |
| Jan. 2021 | €9.9bn | €8.8bn |
| Feb. 2021 | €9.7bn | €8.9bn |
| Mar. 2021 | €9.5bn | €8.9bn |
| Apr. 2021 | €10.3bn | €8.4bn |
| May 2021 | €9.9bn | €8.7bn |
| Jun. 2021 | €9.9bn | €8.8bn |
| Jul. 2021 | €10.2bn | €7.9bn |
| Aug. 2021 | €9.9bn | €7.9bn |
| Sep. 2021 | €10.0bn | €8.3bn |
| Oct. 2021 | €10.4bn | €9.3bn |
| Nov. 2021 | €10.3bn | €8.4bn |
| Dec. 2021 | €11.0bn | €8.1bn |
| Jan. 2022 | €11.2bn | €8.8bn |
| Feb. 2022 | €11.1bn | €9.7bn |
| Mar. 2022 | €11.8bn | €9.0bn |
| Apr. 2022 | €12.6bn | €8.6bn |
| May 2022 | €13.5bn | €8.7bn |
| Jun. 2022 | €14.5bn | €8.8bn |
| Jul. 2022 | €12.1bn | €8.8bn |
| Aug. 2022 | €13.7bn | €8.9bn |
| Sep. 2022 | €14.2bn | €8.9bn |
| Oct. 2022 | €13.9bn | €9.0bn |
| Nov. 2022 | €13.6bn | €8.8bn |
| Dec. 2022 | €12.8bn | €8.1bn |
| Jan. 2023 | €13.0bn | €7.8bn |
| Feb. 2023 | €13.5bn | €8.6bn |
| Mar. 2023 | €12.6bn | €7.8bn |
| Apr. 2023 | €13.1bn | €8.4bn |
| May 2023 | €13.0bn | €8.6bn |
| Jun. 2023 | €13.5bn | €8.1bn |
| Jul. 2023 | €13.3bn | €8.3bn |
| Aug. 2023 | €13.5bn | €8.2bn |
| Sep. 2023 | €12.7bn | €7.8bn |
| Oct. 2023 | €13.8bn | €8.0bn |
| Nov. 2023 | €13.4bn | €8.1bn |
| Dec. 2023 | €12.8bn | €7.7bn |
| Jan. 2024 | €12.7bn | €8.1bn |
| Feb. 2024 | €13.6bn | €8.2bn |
| Mar. 2024 | €13.9bn | €8.2bn |
| Apr. 2024 | €14.0bn | €8.4bn |
| May 2024 | €14.2bn | €7.6bn |
| Jun. 2024 | €13.3bn | €7.7bn |
| Jul. 2024 | €12.8bn | €7.3bn |
| Aug. 2024 | €13.6bn | €7.3bn |
| Sep. 2024 | €14.0bn | €7.1bn |
| Oct. 2024 | €12.3bn | €6.9bn |
| Nov. 2024 | €14.1bn | €6.6bn |
| Dec. 2024 | €13.5bn | €6.8bn |
| Jan. 2025 | €12.9bn | €6.7bn |
| Feb. 2025 | €14.0bn | €6.9bn |
| Mar. 2025 | €14.4bn | €7.5bn |
| Apr. 2025 | €13.2bn | €7.0bn |
| May 2025 | €12.2bn | €6.8bn |
| Jun. 2025 | €12.4bn | €6.8bn |
| Jul. 2025 | €11.1bn | €6.5bn |
| Aug. 2025 | €11.0bn | €6.8bn |
| Sep. 2025 | €12.2bn | €6.7bn |
| Oct. 2025 | €11.3bn | €6.4bn |
| Nov. 2025 | €11.2bn | €6.5bn |
| Dec. 2025 | €11.8bn | €7.2bn |
| Jan. 2026 | €12.9bn | €6.3bn |
| Feb. 2026 | €12.2bn | €6.1bn |
| Mar. 2026 | €11.7bn | €6.0bn |
| Apr. 2026 | €11.5bn | €5.8bn |
| May 2026 | €14.1bn | €6.1bn |
| Jun. 2026 | €12.3bn | €6.1bn |
| Jul. 2026 | €14.2bn | €5.6bn |
| Aug. 2026 | €13.5bn | €5.8bn |
| Sep. 2026 | €13.4bn | €5.5bn |
3. Unemployment rising towards three million
The number of registered unemployed has been rising since 2022. It passed three million in Aug. 2025, a first since Feb. 2015.
Unemployed registered with the Federal Employment Agency
Millions, mid-month, not seasonally adjusted (seasonal peak every winter).
Source:Bundesagentur für Arbeit (Destatis table 13211-0002), via DBnomics
Show the chart data
| Period | Registered unemployed |
|---|---|
| Jan. 2010 | 3.61 million |
| Feb. 2010 | 3.64 million |
| Mar. 2010 | 3.56 million |
| Apr. 2010 | 3.40 million |
| May 2010 | 3.24 million |
| Jun. 2010 | 3.15 million |
| Jul. 2010 | 3.19 million |
| Aug. 2010 | 3.18 million |
| Sep. 2010 | 3.03 million |
| Oct. 2010 | 2.94 million |
| Nov. 2010 | 2.93 million |
| Dec. 2010 | 3.01 million |
| Jan. 2011 | 3.35 million |
| Feb. 2011 | 3.31 million |
| Mar. 2011 | 3.21 million |
| Apr. 2011 | 3.08 million |
| May 2011 | 2.96 million |
| Jun. 2011 | 2.89 million |
| Jul. 2011 | 2.94 million |
| Aug. 2011 | 2.95 million |
| Sep. 2011 | 2.80 million |
| Oct. 2011 | 2.74 million |
| Nov. 2011 | 2.71 million |
| Dec. 2011 | 2.78 million |
| Jan. 2012 | 3.08 million |
| Feb. 2012 | 3.11 million |
| Mar. 2012 | 3.03 million |
| Apr. 2012 | 2.96 million |
| May 2012 | 2.86 million |
| Jun. 2012 | 2.81 million |
| Jul. 2012 | 2.88 million |
| Aug. 2012 | 2.91 million |
| Sep. 2012 | 2.79 million |
| Oct. 2012 | 2.75 million |
| Nov. 2012 | 2.75 million |
| Dec. 2012 | 2.84 million |
| Jan. 2013 | 3.14 million |
| Feb. 2013 | 3.16 million |
| Mar. 2013 | 3.10 million |
| Apr. 2013 | 3.02 million |
| May 2013 | 2.94 million |
| Jun. 2013 | 2.86 million |
| Jul. 2013 | 2.91 million |
| Aug. 2013 | 2.95 million |
| Sep. 2013 | 2.85 million |
| Oct. 2013 | 2.80 million |
| Nov. 2013 | 2.81 million |
| Dec. 2013 | 2.87 million |
| Jan. 2014 | 3.14 million |
| Feb. 2014 | 3.14 million |
| Mar. 2014 | 3.05 million |
| Apr. 2014 | 2.94 million |
| May 2014 | 2.88 million |
| Jun. 2014 | 2.83 million |
| Jul. 2014 | 2.87 million |
| Aug. 2014 | 2.90 million |
| Sep. 2014 | 2.81 million |
| Oct. 2014 | 2.73 million |
| Nov. 2014 | 2.72 million |
| Dec. 2014 | 2.76 million |
| Jan. 2015 | 3.03 million |
| Feb. 2015 | 3.02 million |
| Mar. 2015 | 2.93 million |
| Apr. 2015 | 2.84 million |
| May 2015 | 2.76 million |
| Jun. 2015 | 2.71 million |
| Jul. 2015 | 2.77 million |
| Aug. 2015 | 2.80 million |
| Sep. 2015 | 2.71 million |
| Oct. 2015 | 2.65 million |
| Nov. 2015 | 2.63 million |
| Dec. 2015 | 2.68 million |
| Jan. 2016 | 2.92 million |
| Feb. 2016 | 2.91 million |
| Mar. 2016 | 2.84 million |
| Apr. 2016 | 2.74 million |
| May 2016 | 2.66 million |
| Jun. 2016 | 2.61 million |
| Jul. 2016 | 2.66 million |
| Aug. 2016 | 2.68 million |
| Sep. 2016 | 2.61 million |
| Oct. 2016 | 2.54 million |
| Nov. 2016 | 2.53 million |
| Dec. 2016 | 2.57 million |
| Jan. 2017 | 2.78 million |
| Feb. 2017 | 2.76 million |
| Mar. 2017 | 2.66 million |
| Apr. 2017 | 2.57 million |
| May 2017 | 2.50 million |
| Jun. 2017 | 2.47 million |
| Jul. 2017 | 2.52 million |
| Aug. 2017 | 2.54 million |
| Sep. 2017 | 2.45 million |
| Oct. 2017 | 2.39 million |
| Nov. 2017 | 2.37 million |
| Dec. 2017 | 2.39 million |
| Jan. 2018 | 2.57 million |
| Feb. 2018 | 2.55 million |
| Mar. 2018 | 2.46 million |
| Apr. 2018 | 2.38 million |
| May 2018 | 2.32 million |
| Jun. 2018 | 2.28 million |
| Jul. 2018 | 2.32 million |
| Aug. 2018 | 2.35 million |
| Sep. 2018 | 2.26 million |
| Oct. 2018 | 2.20 million |
| Nov. 2018 | 2.19 million |
| Dec. 2018 | 2.21 million |
| Jan. 2019 | 2.41 million |
| Feb. 2019 | 2.37 million |
| Mar. 2019 | 2.30 million |
| Apr. 2019 | 2.23 million |
| May 2019 | 2.24 million |
| Jun. 2019 | 2.22 million |
| Jul. 2019 | 2.28 million |
| Aug. 2019 | 2.32 million |
| Sep. 2019 | 2.23 million |
| Oct. 2019 | 2.20 million |
| Nov. 2019 | 2.18 million |
| Dec. 2019 | 2.23 million |
| Jan. 2020 | 2.43 million |
| Feb. 2020 | 2.40 million |
| Mar. 2020 | 2.34 million |
| Apr. 2020 | 2.64 million |
| May 2020 | 2.81 million |
| Jun. 2020 | 2.85 million |
| Jul. 2020 | 2.91 million |
| Aug. 2020 | 2.96 million |
| Sep. 2020 | 2.85 million |
| Oct. 2020 | 2.76 million |
| Nov. 2020 | 2.70 million |
| Dec. 2020 | 2.71 million |
| Jan. 2021 | 2.90 million |
| Feb. 2021 | 2.90 million |
| Mar. 2021 | 2.83 million |
| Apr. 2021 | 2.77 million |
| May 2021 | 2.69 million |
| Jun. 2021 | 2.61 million |
| Jul. 2021 | 2.59 million |
| Aug. 2021 | 2.58 million |
| Sep. 2021 | 2.46 million |
| Oct. 2021 | 2.38 million |
| Nov. 2021 | 2.32 million |
| Dec. 2021 | 2.33 million |
| Jan. 2022 | 2.46 million |
| Feb. 2022 | 2.43 million |
| Mar. 2022 | 2.36 million |
| Apr. 2022 | 2.31 million |
| May 2022 | 2.26 million |
| Jun. 2022 | 2.36 million |
| Jul. 2022 | 2.47 million |
| Aug. 2022 | 2.55 million |
| Sep. 2022 | 2.49 million |
| Oct. 2022 | 2.44 million |
| Nov. 2022 | 2.43 million |
| Dec. 2022 | 2.45 million |
| Jan. 2023 | 2.62 million |
| Feb. 2023 | 2.62 million |
| Mar. 2023 | 2.59 million |
| Apr. 2023 | 2.59 million |
| May 2023 | 2.54 million |
| Jun. 2023 | 2.56 million |
| Jul. 2023 | 2.62 million |
| Aug. 2023 | 2.70 million |
| Sep. 2023 | 2.63 million |
| Oct. 2023 | 2.61 million |
| Nov. 2023 | 2.61 million |
| Dec. 2023 | 2.64 million |
| Jan. 2024 | 2.81 million |
| Feb. 2024 | 2.81 million |
| Mar. 2024 | 2.77 million |
| Apr. 2024 | 2.75 million |
| May 2024 | 2.72 million |
| Jun. 2024 | 2.73 million |
| Jul. 2024 | 2.81 million |
| Aug. 2024 | 2.87 million |
| Sep. 2024 | 2.81 million |
| Oct. 2024 | 2.79 million |
| Nov. 2024 | 2.77 million |
| Dec. 2024 | 2.81 million |
| Jan. 2025 | 2.99 million |
| Feb. 2025 | 2.99 million |
| Mar. 2025 | 2.97 million |
| Apr. 2025 | 2.93 million |
| May 2025 | 2.92 million |
| Jun. 2025 | 2.91 million |
| Jul. 2025 | 2.98 million |
| Aug. 2025 | 3.03 million |
| Sep. 2025 | 2.95 million |
| Oct. 2025 | 2.91 million |
| Nov. 2025 | 2.89 million |
| Dec. 2025 | 2.91 million |
| Jan. 2026 | 3.08 million |
| Feb. 2026 | 3.07 million |
| Mar. 2026 | 3.02 million |
| Apr. 2026 | 3.01 million |
| May 2026 | 2.95 million |
| Jun. 2026 | 2.94 million |
| Jul. 2026 | 3.01 million |
| Aug. 2026 | 3.06 million |
| Sep. 2026 | 2.99 million |
| Oct. 2026 | 2.95 million |
What we know, what we don’t
What the figures establish
- German manufacturing output is well below its 2018 level, and energy-intensive industries have fallen the most.
- Exports to China are falling, while total exports are growing.
- The number of registered unemployed again exceeds three million in some months, which had not happened since the mid-2010s.
What they don’t tell
- The effect of the special infrastructure fund: the spending committed does not yet show in these series.
- The share of each cause (energy prices, Chinese competition, US tariffs, the car industry’s transition): these series do not separate them.
- Industrial job losses by branch: this dossier only reads total registered unemployment.
Sources
Series downloaded from their producers on Nov 12, 2026, the snapshot date. Only published periods are used: no projection.
- Bundesagentur für Arbeit (Destatis table 13211-0002), via DBnomics Registered unemployed, Germany, monthly
- Eurostat Production in industry, manufacturing, calendar and seasonally adjusted (sts_inpr_m)
- Eurostat Electricity prices for non-household consumers, band ID, excluding VAT (nrg_pc_205)
- Statistisches Bundesamt (Destatis), via DBnomics Indices of production in manufacturing (42153-0001), calendar and seasonally adjusted
- Statistisches Bundesamt (Destatis), via DBnomics Indices of new orders in manufacturing (42151-0001), volume, calendar and seasonally adjusted
- Statistisches Bundesamt (Destatis), via DBnomics Foreign trade: exports by country, calendar and seasonally adjusted (51000-0007)