Coal, solar, heatwaves: India’s electricity transition
India generates more and more electricity, mostly from coal, but solar is growing faster than anything else. The 2026 heatwaves pushed demand up again. Generation by source, installed capacity, carbon intensity and consumption per person.
Scope: India, electricity generation and demand of all grid-connected plants, yearly data since 2000 and monthly since 2019 (Ember), World Bank population for consumption per person.
Key points
- Coal still dominates. It supplied 71% of India’s electricity in 2025, more than twice the world average (33%). Its share, close to three quarters since the mid-2010s (peak of 77% in 2016), fell in 2025 after 75% in 2024, and its output fell 2.9%.
- Solar changes scale. Solar generation rose from 7 TWh in 2015 to 195 TWh in 2025, about 27 times more. Solar capacity reaches 136 GW, against 251 GW for coal.
- Demand rises with the heat. From April to June Apr. 2026 – Jun. 2026, demand grew 10% over a year; the monthly record was set in Jul. 2026 (185 TWh).
- More carbon-intensive than average. Each kilowatt-hour generated in India emits 671 gCO2e/kWh in 2025, against 460 gCO2e/kWh on world average.
- Still little electricity per person. An Indian uses 1,422 kWh a year (2025), about 37% of the world average: demand still has plenty of room to grow.
How to read these figures
The series come from Ember, a research centre that compiles official generation statistics (in India, the Central Electricity Authority and the grid operator) and publishes yearly and monthly data under an open licence. Generation is the electricity leaving power plants; demand adds net trade with neighbouring countries, very small for India.
Carbon intensity divides the power plants’ greenhouse gas emissions, life cycle included, by the electricity generated. Consumption per person divides the year’s demand by the World Bank population. Capacities are installed power at year end: a solar plant only generates part of the day, so equal solar and coal capacities do not generate the same electricity.
1. Coal-fired electricity
Indian generation rose 59% between 2015 and 2025, to 2,080 TWh. Coal still supplies most of it; its share, long stable, fell markedly in 2025.
Electricity generation by source
Gas and other fossil fuels grouped; bioenergy and other renewables grouped.
- Solar
- Wind
- Bioenergy and other
- Hydro
- Nuclear
- Gas and other fossil
- Coal
Source:EmberType of source : Research
Show the chart data
| Period | Coal | Gas and other fossil | Nuclear | Hydro | Bioenergy and other | Wind | Solar |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 390 TWh | 85 TWh | 16 TWh | 77 TWh | 2 TWh | 2 TWh | 0 TWh |
| 2001 | 408 TWh | 83 TWh | 19 TWh | 72 TWh | 2 TWh | 2 TWh | 0 TWh |
| 2002 | 427 TWh | 91 TWh | 19 TWh | 69 TWh | 2 TWh | 2 TWh | 0 TWh |
| 2003 | 441 TWh | 104 TWh | 18 TWh | 69 TWh | 3 TWh | 3 TWh | 0 TWh |
| 2004 | 463 TWh | 105 TWh | 21 TWh | 101 TWh | 3 TWh | 5 TWh | 0 TWh |
| 2005 | 478 TWh | 101 TWh | 18 TWh | 97 TWh | 4 TWh | 6 TWh | 0 TWh |
| 2006 | 505 TWh | 94 TWh | 18 TWh | 113 TWh | 6 TWh | 9 TWh | 0 TWh |
| 2007 | 533 TWh | 103 TWh | 18 TWh | 123 TWh | 7 TWh | 12 TWh | 0 TWh |
| 2008 | 573 TWh | 101 TWh | 15 TWh | 115 TWh | 9 TWh | 14 TWh | 0 TWh |
| 2009 | 611 TWh | 117 TWh | 17 TWh | 106 TWh | 11 TWh | 16 TWh | 0 TWh |
| 2010 | 643 TWh | 129 TWh | 23 TWh | 109 TWh | 13 TWh | 19 TWh | 0 TWh |
| 2011 | 701 TWh | 127 TWh | 32 TWh | 132 TWh | 15 TWh | 24 TWh | 1 TWh |
| 2012 | 787 TWh | 106 TWh | 33 TWh | 116 TWh | 17 TWh | 27 TWh | 2 TWh |
| 2013 | 848 TWh | 77 TWh | 33 TWh | 132 TWh | 18 TWh | 30 TWh | 3 TWh |
| 2014 | 950 TWh | 76 TWh | 35 TWh | 139 TWh | 21 TWh | 33 TWh | 5 TWh |
| 2015 | 1,007 TWh | 74 TWh | 38 TWh | 133 TWh | 18 TWh | 33 TWh | 7 TWh |
| 2016 | 1,074 TWh | 82 TWh | 38 TWh | 129 TWh | 17 TWh | 43 TWh | 12 TWh |
| 2017 | 1,115 TWh | 84 TWh | 37 TWh | 136 TWh | 15 TWh | 53 TWh | 22 TWh |
| 2018 | 1,199 TWh | 78 TWh | 39 TWh | 140 TWh | 18 TWh | 60 TWh | 37 TWh |
| 2019 | 1,199 TWh | 75 TWh | 45 TWh | 162 TWh | 19 TWh | 63 TWh | 37 TWh |
| 2020 | 1,144 TWh | 78 TWh | 45 TWh | 164 TWh | 20 TWh | 60 TWh | 52 TWh |
| 2021 | 1,256 TWh | 64 TWh | 44 TWh | 161 TWh | 21 TWh | 68 TWh | 64 TWh |
| 2022 | 1,344 TWh | 50 TWh | 46 TWh | 175 TWh | 23 TWh | 70 TWh | 94 TWh |
| 2023 | 1,445 TWh | 55 TWh | 48 TWh | 149 TWh | 23 TWh | 82 TWh | 114 TWh |
| 2024 | 1,518 TWh | 61 TWh | 55 TWh | 157 TWh | 22 TWh | 82 TWh | 142 TWh |
| 2025 | 1,474 TWh | 53 TWh | 54 TWh | 178 TWh | 23 TWh | 104 TWh | 195 TWh |
Share of coal in generation
India and world average. Latest year: 2025.
- World
- India
Source:EmberType of source : Research
Show the chart data
| Period | India | World |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 68.3% | 38.1% |
| 2001 | 69.7% | 38.1% |
| 2002 | 70.0% | 38.4% |
| 2003 | 69.2% | 39.6% |
| 2004 | 66.3% | 39.1% |
| 2005 | 67.9% | 39.6% |
| 2006 | 67.9% | 40.2% |
| 2007 | 67.0% | 40.9% |
| 2008 | 69.2% | 40.2% |
| 2009 | 69.6% | 39.9% |
| 2010 | 68.7% | 39.9% |
| 2011 | 67.9% | 40.7% |
| 2012 | 72.3% | 40.0% |
| 2013 | 74.3% | 40.9% |
| 2014 | 75.5% | 40.6% |
| 2015 | 76.8% | 38.8% |
| 2016 | 77.0% | 37.9% |
| 2017 | 76.3% | 38.1% |
| 2018 | 76.3% | 38.1% |
| 2019 | 74.9% | 36.8% |
| 2020 | 73.2% | 35.5% |
| 2021 | 74.9% | 36.1% |
| 2022 | 74.6% | 35.7% |
| 2023 | 75.4% | 35.4% |
| 2024 | 74.6% | 34.3% |
| 2025 | 70.9% | 33.2% |
2. The rise of solar and wind
Solar and wind supplied 14% of electricity in 2025, and all low-carbon sources (renewables and nuclear) 27%. Over the latest twelve months (Oct. 2025 – Sep. 2026), solar’s share rises to 13% and coal’s falls to 68%.
Solar and wind generation
Yearly generation in terawatt-hours.
- Wind
- Solar
Source:EmberType of source : Research
Show the chart data
| Period | Solar | Wind |
|---|---|---|
| 2010 | 0 TWh | 19 TWh |
| 2011 | 1 TWh | 24 TWh |
| 2012 | 2 TWh | 27 TWh |
| 2013 | 3 TWh | 30 TWh |
| 2014 | 5 TWh | 33 TWh |
| 2015 | 7 TWh | 33 TWh |
| 2016 | 12 TWh | 43 TWh |
| 2017 | 22 TWh | 53 TWh |
| 2018 | 37 TWh | 60 TWh |
| 2019 | 37 TWh | 63 TWh |
| 2020 | 52 TWh | 60 TWh |
| 2021 | 64 TWh | 68 TWh |
| 2022 | 94 TWh | 70 TWh |
| 2023 | 114 TWh | 82 TWh |
| 2024 | 142 TWh | 82 TWh |
| 2025 | 195 TWh | 104 TWh |
Installed capacity: coal, solar, wind
Installed power at year end. Wind: 55 GW in 2025.
- Wind
- Solar
- Coal
Source:EmberType of source : Research
Show the chart data
| Period | Coal | Solar | Wind |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | 99 GW | 0 GW | 13 GW |
| 2011 | 113 GW | 1 GW | 16 GW |
| 2012 | 132 GW | 1 GW | 17 GW |
| 2013 | 149 GW | 2 GW | 18 GW |
| 2014 | 169 GW | 4 GW | 22 GW |
| 2015 | 190 GW | 6 GW | 25 GW |
| 2016 | 207 GW | 10 GW | 29 GW |
| 2017 | 212 GW | 18 GW | 33 GW |
| 2018 | 218 GW | 27 GW | 35 GW |
| 2019 | 226 GW | 35 GW | 38 GW |
| 2020 | 226 GW | 40 GW | 39 GW |
| 2021 | 231 GW | 50 GW | 40 GW |
| 2022 | 232 GW | 63 GW | 42 GW |
| 2023 | 238 GW | 73 GW | 45 GW |
| 2024 | 241 GW | 98 GW | 48 GW |
| 2025 | 251 GW | 136 GW | 55 GW |
3. Heatwaves and demand peaks
Demand follows the seasons: it peaks in the hot months, when air conditioning and irrigation run at full speed. Over twelve months (Oct. 2025 – Sep. 2026), it reaches 1,981 TWh, up 6.6% over a year.
Electricity demand, each month
Record: 185 TWh in Jul. 2026, against 169 TWh a year earlier.
Source:EmberType of source : Research
Show the chart data
| Period | Demand |
|---|---|
| Jan. 2019 | 109.7 TWh |
| Feb. 2019 | 100.3 TWh |
| Mar. 2019 | 116.4 TWh |
| Apr. 2019 | 118.5 TWh |
| May 2019 | 128.7 TWh |
| Jun. 2019 | 126.1 TWh |
| Jul. 2019 | 124.1 TWh |
| Aug. 2019 | 120.5 TWh |
| Sep. 2019 | 115.4 TWh |
| Oct. 2019 | 106.1 TWh |
| Nov. 2019 | 102.0 TWh |
| Dec. 2019 | 109.6 TWh |
| Jan. 2020 | 113.4 TWh |
| Feb. 2020 | 112.0 TWh |
| Mar. 2020 | 107.0 TWh |
| Apr. 2020 | 91.6 TWh |
| May 2020 | 109.9 TWh |
| Jun. 2020 | 113.8 TWh |
| Jul. 2020 | 121.1 TWh |
| Aug. 2020 | 118.4 TWh |
| Sep. 2020 | 121.2 TWh |
| Oct. 2020 | 118.2 TWh |
| Nov. 2020 | 105.7 TWh |
| Dec. 2020 | 115.2 TWh |
| Jan. 2021 | 119.6 TWh |
| Feb. 2021 | 112.1 TWh |
| Mar. 2021 | 131.1 TWh |
| Apr. 2021 | 126.6 TWh |
| May 2021 | 118.0 TWh |
| Jun. 2021 | 123.3 TWh |
| Jul. 2021 | 134.8 TWh |
| Aug. 2021 | 137.9 TWh |
| Sep. 2021 | 122.8 TWh |
| Oct. 2021 | 122.5 TWh |
| Nov. 2021 | 108.2 TWh |
| Dec. 2021 | 118.9 TWh |
| Jan. 2022 | 120.9 TWh |
| Feb. 2022 | 117.5 TWh |
| Mar. 2022 | 139.5 TWh |
| Apr. 2022 | 142.1 TWh |
| May 2022 | 146.1 TWh |
| Jun. 2022 | 144.1 TWh |
| Jul. 2022 | 138.4 TWh |
| Aug. 2022 | 140.0 TWh |
| Sep. 2022 | 137.3 TWh |
| Oct. 2022 | 124.2 TWh |
| Nov. 2022 | 122.2 TWh |
| Dec. 2022 | 131.3 TWh |
| Jan. 2023 | 136.2 TWh |
| Feb. 2023 | 127.0 TWh |
| Mar. 2023 | 137.2 TWh |
| Apr. 2023 | 139.8 TWh |
| May 2023 | 147.2 TWh |
| Jun. 2023 | 150.0 TWh |
| Jul. 2023 | 148.7 TWh |
| Aug. 2023 | 160.4 TWh |
| Sep. 2023 | 149.8 TWh |
| Oct. 2023 | 149.6 TWh |
| Nov. 2023 | 128.8 TWh |
| Dec. 2023 | 132.6 TWh |
| Jan. 2024 | 143.3 TWh |
| Feb. 2024 | 136.1 TWh |
| Mar. 2024 | 149.6 TWh |
| Apr. 2024 | 154.9 TWh |
| May 2024 | 167.8 TWh |
| Jun. 2024 | 163.2 TWh |
| Jul. 2024 | 161.4 TWh |
| Aug. 2024 | 155.6 TWh |
| Sep. 2024 | 151.5 TWh |
| Oct. 2024 | 152.6 TWh |
| Nov. 2024 | 135.2 TWh |
| Dec. 2024 | 141.5 TWh |
| Jan. 2025 | 148.1 TWh |
| Feb. 2025 | 142.4 TWh |
| Mar. 2025 | 160.7 TWh |
| Apr. 2025 | 159.1 TWh |
| May 2025 | 161.4 TWh |
| Jun. 2025 | 163.2 TWh |
| Jul. 2025 | 169.3 TWh |
| Aug. 2025 | 164.3 TWh |
| Sep. 2025 | 159.4 TWh |
| Oct. 2025 | 144.8 TWh |
| Nov. 2025 | 135.9 TWh |
| Dec. 2025 | 152.7 TWh |
| Jan. 2026 | 157.5 TWh |
| Feb. 2026 | 147.1 TWh |
| Mar. 2026 | 164.1 TWh |
| Apr. 2026 | 168.5 TWh |
| May 2026 | 180.4 TWh |
| Jun. 2026 | 182.1 TWh |
| Jul. 2026 | 185.2 TWh |
| Aug. 2026 | 184.9 TWh |
| Sep. 2026 | 177.7 TWh |
Electricity consumption per person
Yearly demand divided by population (World Bank), in kilowatt-hours.
- World
- India
Source:EmberType of source : ResearchWorld Bank
Show the chart data
| Period | India | World |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 541 kWh | 2,487 kWh |
| 2001 | 545 kWh | 2,490 kWh |
| 2002 | 557 kWh | 2,544 kWh |
| 2003 | 573 kWh | 2,602 kWh |
| 2004 | 616 kWh | 2,690 kWh |
| 2005 | 611 kWh | 2,765 kWh |
| 2006 | 637 kWh | 2,836 kWh |
| 2007 | 673 kWh | 2,931 kWh |
| 2008 | 691 kWh | 2,951 kWh |
| 2009 | 721 kWh | 2,891 kWh |
| 2010 | 758 kWh | 3,046 kWh |
| 2011 | 823 kWh | 3,110 kWh |
| 2012 | 855 kWh | 3,147 kWh |
| 2013 | 884 kWh | 3,198 kWh |
| 2014 | 960 kWh | 3,237 kWh |
| 2015 | 987 kWh | 3,234 kWh |
| 2016 | 1,037 kWh | 3,286 kWh |
| 2017 | 1,074 kWh | 3,347 kWh |
| 2018 | 1,141 kWh | 3,444 kWh |
| 2019 | 1,150 kWh | 3,459 kWh |
| 2020 | 1,114 kWh | 3,413 kWh |
| 2021 | 1,186 kWh | 3,579 kWh |
| 2022 | 1,264 kWh | 3,630 kWh |
| 2023 | 1,332 kWh | 3,695 kWh |
| 2024 | 1,401 kWh | 3,817 kWh |
| 2025 | 1,422 kWh | 3,886 kWh |
4. Carbon intensity
Because coal dominates, each Indian kilowatt-hour emits markedly more than the world average. The gap narrows slowly as solar grows.
Emissions per kilowatt-hour generated
Grams of CO2 equivalent per kilowatt-hour, India and world average. Latest year: 2025.
- World
- India
Source:EmberType of source : Research
Show the chart data
| Period | India | World |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 740 gCO2e/kWh | 528 gCO2e/kWh |
| 2001 | 747 gCO2e/kWh | 530 gCO2e/kWh |
| 2002 | 756 gCO2e/kWh | 533 gCO2e/kWh |
| 2003 | 758 gCO2e/kWh | 545 gCO2e/kWh |
| 2004 | 724 gCO2e/kWh | 540 gCO2e/kWh |
| 2005 | 734 gCO2e/kWh | 544 gCO2e/kWh |
| 2006 | 723 gCO2e/kWh | 547 gCO2e/kWh |
| 2007 | 718 gCO2e/kWh | 555 gCO2e/kWh |
| 2008 | 733 gCO2e/kWh | 548 gCO2e/kWh |
| 2009 | 745 gCO2e/kWh | 544 gCO2e/kWh |
| 2010 | 739 gCO2e/kWh | 544 gCO2e/kWh |
| 2011 | 722 gCO2e/kWh | 551 gCO2e/kWh |
| 2012 | 743 gCO2e/kWh | 549 gCO2e/kWh |
| 2013 | 739 gCO2e/kWh | 549 gCO2e/kWh |
| 2014 | 743 gCO2e/kWh | 545 gCO2e/kWh |
| 2015 | 751 gCO2e/kWh | 534 gCO2e/kWh |
| 2016 | 752 gCO2e/kWh | 526 gCO2e/kWh |
| 2017 | 743 gCO2e/kWh | 523 gCO2e/kWh |
| 2018 | 738 gCO2e/kWh | 519 gCO2e/kWh |
| 2019 | 723 gCO2e/kWh | 507 gCO2e/kWh |
| 2020 | 710 gCO2e/kWh | 494 gCO2e/kWh |
| 2021 | 716 gCO2e/kWh | 497 gCO2e/kWh |
| 2022 | 707 gCO2e/kWh | 492 gCO2e/kWh |
| 2023 | 714 gCO2e/kWh | 486 gCO2e/kWh |
| 2024 | 707 gCO2e/kWh | 473 gCO2e/kWh |
| 2025 | 671 gCO2e/kWh | 460 gCO2e/kWh |
What we know, what we don’t
What the figures establish
- Coal still supplies more than two thirds of India’s electricity, but its share fell markedly in the latest year, after a decade at around three quarters.
- Solar is the fastest-growing source, in generation as in installed capacity.
- Demand grows fast and sets its records in the hot months.
What they don’t tell
- The exact role of heatwaves in the rise of demand: these series do not separate the effect of heat from that of economic growth.
- Local outages and load shedding, which national totals do not show.
- The future path of the mix: this dossier only reads published data, no projection.
Sources
Series downloaded from their producers on Nov 12, 2026, the snapshot date. Only published periods are used: no projection.
- World Bank Population, total (SP.POP.TOTL)
- Ember Type of source : Research Yearly electricity data (generation, capacity, emissions, demand), CC BY 4.0
- Ember Type of source : Research Monthly electricity data, CC BY 4.0