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  1. Italy
  2. ›
  3. Economy & public finances

Gas, electricity, industry: Italy faces the energy shock

The 2026 Gulf war cut Italy off from Qatari liquefied natural gas. The OECD has lowered its forecasts for the country and Confindustria warns of a recession. Energy prices, gas supply, industrial output: what the official series show.

Citoyen·Data as of Nov 12, 2026

Scope: Italy, compared with the euro area and the European Union: consumer energy prices (monthly), gas and electricity prices (half-yearly), natural gas imports (annual by origin, monthly for liquefied natural gas), industrial production (monthly), to the latest data published by Eurostat.

This dossier is updated at least once a quarter with the new figures. Follow it to get a notification at each update.

Key points

Energy price rise over a year31.4%Oct. 2026, against 20.8% in the euro area
Months without Qatari gas6no delivery recorded since Mar. 2026
Business electricity€199/MWhaverage price excluding VAT, H1 2026
Fall in chemicals4.2%output in Sep. 2026 against January-February 2026
  • Energy is soaring again. Energy prices paid by Italian households rose 31.4% over a year in Oct. 2026, against 20.8% in the euro area; a year earlier they were falling (−4.5%). Headline inflation reaches 5.6%.
  • Qatari gas has disappeared. Italy has recorded no gas imports from Qatar since Mar. 2026, 6 months in a row, after receiving 72 TWh in 2025. Deliveries of US liquefied gas rose 51% over a year in the latest six months known.
  • Dependence shifted, not removed. In 2024, Algeria supplied 39% of imported gas, Azerbaijan 17% and Qatar 12%; Russia, which supplied 47% in 2019, fell to 10%.
  • Electricity remains dearer than elsewhere. In H1 2026, an average business paid €199/MWh for electricity excluding VAT, 28% more than the European average (€156/MWh) and far more than in France (€124/MWh).
  • Industry holds, chemicals fall. Manufacturing output in Sep. 2026 remains close to its level at the start of the year (0.4%), but 6.2% below 2021; chemicals have lost 4.2% since January-February 2026.
How to read these figures

Energy inflation is the year-on-year rise of the energy item of the harmonised index of consumer prices (electricity, gas, motor fuels, heating). Average prices of gas and electricity are published by half-year for a standard consumption band: a household using between 2,500 and 5,000 kWh of electricity a year, all taxes included; a business using between 2,000 and 20,000 MWh, excluding VAT and recoverable taxes. They are expressed in euros per megawatt-hour.

Gas imports by country of origin are annual and end a year earlier. The monthly data record pipeline gas at the transit country (Tunisia for Algerian gas, Albania for Azerbaijani gas): only liquefied natural gas, delivered directly by tanker, is read by country there. Industrial production is a volume index, 2021 = 100, seasonally adjusted.

1. Energy prices are rising again

After the easing of 2024 and 2025, energy prices started rising again in spring 2026 and accelerated in the autumn, more strongly in Italy than in the rest of the euro area.

Energy prices, change over a year

Energy item of the harmonised index of consumer prices. Italy and the euro area.

  • Euro area
  • Italy

Source:Eurostat (Istat)

Show the chart data
PeriodItalyEuro area
Jan. 20193.9%2.6%
Feb. 20194.3%3.5%
Mar. 20195.5%5.3%
Apr. 20195.0%5.2%
May 20194.5%3.8%
Jun. 20192.7%1.7%
Jul. 2019−1.8%0.5%
Aug. 2019−2.0%−0.6%
Sep. 2019−2.9%−1.8%
Oct. 2019−4.7%−3.1%
Nov. 2019−4.7%−3.1%
Dec. 2019−2.2%0.3%
Jan. 2020−2.2%2.0%
Feb. 2020−3.4%−0.3%
Mar. 2020−5.7%−4.4%
Apr. 2020−9.8%−9.7%
May 2020−13.1%−12.0%
Jun. 2020−12.4%−9.3%
Jul. 2020−10.6%−8.4%
Aug. 2020−10.4%−7.8%
Sep. 2020−10.1%−8.2%
Oct. 2020−9.0%−8.2%
Nov. 2020−8.8%−8.3%
Dec. 2020−7.9%−6.9%
Jan. 2021−4.9%−4.2%
Feb. 2021−3.3%−1.7%
Mar. 20210.3%4.3%
Apr. 20219.8%10.4%
May 202114.1%13.1%
Jun. 202114.2%12.6%
Jul. 202118.8%14.3%
Aug. 202120.1%15.4%
Sep. 202120.4%17.5%
Oct. 202125.5%23.6%
Nov. 202131.0%27.4%
Dec. 202129.4%25.8%
Jan. 202239.0%28.6%
Feb. 202246.6%31.7%
Mar. 202251.4%43.9%
Apr. 202240.0%37.3%
May 202243.0%39.0%
Jun. 202249.4%41.9%
Jul. 202243.4%39.4%
Aug. 202245.3%38.4%
Sep. 202244.8%40.5%
Oct. 202271.7%41.2%
Nov. 202268.2%34.6%
Dec. 202265.2%25.3%
Jan. 202342.7%18.8%
Feb. 202328.2%13.6%
Mar. 202310.8%−0.9%
Apr. 202316.4%2.2%
May 202311.5%−1.9%
Jun. 20232.0%−5.7%
Jul. 20230.6%−6.1%
Aug. 2023−0.2%−3.3%
Sep. 20231.6%−4.6%
Oct. 2023−20.0%−11.1%
Nov. 2023−24.6%−11.3%
Dec. 2023−24.9%−6.6%
Jan. 2024−20.6%−6.1%
Feb. 2024−17.4%−3.7%
Mar. 2024−10.8%−1.8%
Apr. 2024−12.2%−0.6%
May 2024−11.7%0.3%
Jun. 2024−8.5%0.2%
Jul. 2024−4.0%1.2%
Aug. 2024−6.1%−3.0%
Sep. 2024−8.6%−6.1%
Oct. 2024−8.9%−4.6%
Nov. 2024−5.4%−2.1%
Dec. 2024−2.8%0.1%
Jan. 2025−0.8%1.9%
Feb. 20250.7%0.2%
Mar. 20252.7%−1.0%
Apr. 2025−0.8%−3.5%
May 2025−1.9%−3.6%
Jun. 2025−2.1%−2.6%
Jul. 2025−3.5%−2.4%
Aug. 2025−4.8%−2.0%
Sep. 2025−3.7%−0.4%
Oct. 2025−4.5%−0.9%
Nov. 2025−4.1%−0.5%
Dec. 2025−4.5%−1.9%
Jan. 2026−6.2%−4.0%
Feb. 2026−6.6%−3.1%
Mar. 2026−2.1%5.1%
Apr. 20269.3%10.8%
May 202612.0%10.9%
Jun. 202612.9%8.6%
Jul. 202611.7%10.3%
Aug. 202617.1%14.3%
Sep. 202622.6%18.9%
Oct. 202631.4%20.8%

Household electricity prices, euros per MWh

Consumption of 2,500 to 5,000 kWh a year, all taxes included, by half-year.

  • EU-27
  • Italy

Source:Eurostat

Show the chart data
PeriodItalyEU-27
H1 2015€245/MWh€208/MWh
H2 2015€243/MWh€209/MWh
H1 2016€234/MWh€205/MWh
H2 2016€226/MWh€207/MWh
H1 2017€213/MWh€209/MWh
H2 2017€208/MWh€209/MWh
H1 2018€207/MWh€210/MWh
H2 2018€216/MWh€215/MWh
H1 2019€230/MWh€217/MWh
H2 2019€234/MWh€217/MWh
H1 2020€223/MWh€214/MWh
H2 2020€215/MWh€215/MWh
H1 2021€226/MWh€220/MWh
H2 2021€236/MWh€242/MWh
H1 2022€312/MWh€249/MWh
H2 2022€364/MWh€277/MWh
H1 2023€378/MWh€289/MWh
H2 2023€335/MWh€285/MWh
H1 2024€327/MWh€292/MWh
H2 2024€311/MWh€289/MWh
H1 2025€329/MWh€288/MWh
H2 2025€297/MWh€290/MWh
H1 2026€314/MWh€283/MWh

Household gas prices, euros per MWh

Consumption of 20 to 200 GJ a year, all taxes included, by half-year. The second-half price, which covers the winter, is usually higher.

  • EU-27
  • Italy

Source:Eurostat

Show the chart data
PeriodItalyEU-27
H1 2015€77/MWh€67/MWh
H2 2015€91/MWh€73/MWh
H1 2016€73/MWh€64/MWh
H2 2016€84/MWh€68/MWh
H1 2017€70/MWh€62/MWh
H2 2017€87/MWh€68/MWh
H1 2018€71/MWh€63/MWh
H2 2018€95/MWh€72/MWh
H1 2019€77/MWh€67/MWh
H2 2019€93/MWh€73/MWh
H1 2020€73/MWh€65/MWh
H2 2020€90/MWh€70/MWh
H1 2021€70/MWh€64/MWh
H2 2021€101/MWh€78/MWh
H1 2022€99/MWh€85/MWh
H2 2022€131/MWh€113/MWh
H1 2023€98/MWh€116/MWh
H2 2023€135/MWh€114/MWh
H1 2024€114/MWh€110/MWh
H2 2024€159/MWh€124/MWh
H1 2025€124/MWh€114/MWh
H2 2025€148/MWh€123/MWh
H1 2026€114/MWh€110/MWh

2. Where Italy’s gas comes from

Italy replaced Russian gas with Algerian and Azerbaijani gas carried by pipeline, and with liquefied natural gas. Since spring 2026, Qatari tankers no longer arrive; US gas has taken over part of the supply.

Gas imports from Qatar and the United States, each month

Terawatt-hours (gross calorific value). Liquefied natural gas delivered directly.

  • United States
  • Qatar

Source:Eurostat

Show the chart data
PeriodQatarUnited States
Jan. 20235.3 TWh2.7 TWh
Feb. 20234.3 TWh3.5 TWh
Mar. 20236.9 TWh3.2 TWh
Apr. 20235.6 TWh5.6 TWh
May 20235.4 TWh4.8 TWh
Jun. 20235.6 TWh4.9 TWh
Jul. 20237.4 TWh4.4 TWh
Aug. 20235.3 TWh5.1 TWh
Sep. 20235.9 TWh4.2 TWh
Oct. 20235.8 TWh5.3 TWh
Nov. 20237.2 TWh6.3 TWh
Dec. 20237.5 TWh6.1 TWh
Jan. 20246.2 TWh6.3 TWh
Feb. 20245.0 TWh6.3 TWh
Mar. 20245.8 TWh2.8 TWh
Apr. 20245.4 TWh6.4 TWh
May 20246.8 TWh4.2 TWh
Jun. 20246.8 TWh1.2 TWh
Jul. 20245.6 TWh4.1 TWh
Aug. 20246.6 TWh5.1 TWh
Sep. 20245.6 TWh4.0 TWh
Oct. 20244.8 TWh6.1 TWh
Nov. 20246.6 TWh4.2 TWh
Dec. 20247.9 TWh4.0 TWh
Jan. 20255.0 TWh8.7 TWh
Feb. 20256.5 TWh6.3 TWh
Mar. 20257.7 TWh8.6 TWh
Apr. 20256.3 TWh7.7 TWh
May 20256.9 TWh9.7 TWh
Jun. 20256.4 TWh10.5 TWh
Jul. 20254.6 TWh9.2 TWh
Aug. 20250.0 TWh9.9 TWh
Sep. 20256.9 TWh9.8 TWh
Oct. 20257.9 TWh5.7 TWh
Nov. 20256.8 TWh7.9 TWh
Dec. 20257.0 TWh9.8 TWh
Jan. 20264.0 TWh12.4 TWh
Feb. 20266.0 TWh8.5 TWh
Mar. 20266.1 TWh9.6 TWh
Apr. 20260.0 TWh15.2 TWh
May 20260.0 TWh15.6 TWh
Jun. 20260.0 TWh13.4 TWh
Jul. 20260.0 TWh14.7 TWh
Aug. 20260.0 TWh11.5 TWh
Sep. 20260.0 TWh15.4 TWh

Natural gas imports by country of origin

Terawatt-hours a year. Latest year: 2024, 629 TWh in total.

  • Other
  • Libya
  • Norway
  • United States
  • Qatar
  • Russia
  • Azerbaijan
  • Algeria

Source:Eurostat

Show the chart data
PeriodAlgeriaAzerbaijanRussiaQatarUnited StatesNorwayLibyaOther
201581 TWh0 TWh293 TWh61 TWh0 TWh28 TWh75 TWh111 TWh
2016204 TWh0 TWh284 TWh58 TWh1 TWh10 TWh51 TWh82 TWh
2017206 TWh0 TWh350 TWh71 TWh1 TWh28 TWh49 TWh31 TWh
2018190 TWh0 TWh348 TWh69 TWh7 TWh33 TWh47 TWh24 TWh
2019141 TWh0 TWh354 TWh69 TWh17 TWh65 TWh60 TWh45 TWh
2020160 TWh0 TWh304 TWh73 TWh19 TWh78 TWh47 TWh21 TWh
2021238 TWh76 TWh309 TWh73 TWh12 TWh21 TWh34 TWh10 TWh
2022275 TWh109 TWh148 TWh77 TWh32 TWh66 TWh33 TWh28 TWh
2023272 TWh106 TWh31 TWh72 TWh56 TWh43 TWh27 TWh48 TWh
2024246 TWh109 TWh60 TWh73 TWh55 TWh38 TWh15 TWh33 TWh

3. Industry facing the shock

Italian businesses pay more for electricity than the European average. Energy-intensive industries (chemicals, metals, glass and ceramics, paper) produce less than in 2021.

Business electricity prices, euros per MWh

Consumption of 2,000 to 20,000 MWh a year, excluding VAT and recoverable taxes, by half-year.

  • EU-27
  • France
  • Germany
  • Italy

Source:Eurostat

Show the chart data
PeriodItalyGermanyFranceEU-27
H1 2015€149/MWh€132/MWh€90/MWh€103/MWh
H2 2015€149/MWh€130/MWh€85/MWh€102/MWh
H1 2016€141/MWh€129/MWh€79/MWh€98/MWh
H2 2016€144/MWh€126/MWh€76/MWh€97/MWh
H1 2017€134/MWh€127/MWh€78/MWh€97/MWh
H2 2017€132/MWh€127/MWh€74/MWh€96/MWh
H1 2018€119/MWh€122/MWh€77/MWh€95/MWh
H2 2018€122/MWh€124/MWh€72/MWh€96/MWh
H1 2019€142/MWh€131/MWh€84/MWh€105/MWh
H2 2019€140/MWh€136/MWh€79/MWh€103/MWh
H1 2020€128/MWh€151/MWh€85/MWh€106/MWh
H2 2020€131/MWh€153/MWh€81/MWh€107/MWh
H1 2021€134/MWh€150/MWh€87/MWh€110/MWh
H2 2021€161/MWh€164/MWh€88/MWh€132/MWh
H1 2022€234/MWh€193/MWh€125/MWh€174/MWh
H2 2022€315/MWh€195/MWh€114/MWh€202/MWh
H1 2023€242/MWh€206/MWh€224/MWh€202/MWh
H2 2023€209/MWh€202/MWh€203/MWh€187/MWh
H1 2024€184/MWh€202/MWh€141/MWh€163/MWh
H2 2024€201/MWh€208/MWh€145/MWh€171/MWh
H1 2025€203/MWh€193/MWh€130/MWh€164/MWh
H2 2025€195/MWh€192/MWh€121/MWh€160/MWh
H1 2026€199/MWh€174/MWh€124/MWh€156/MWh

Industrial production, index 2021 = 100

Seasonally and calendar adjusted. Manufacturing (Italy and the EU) and energy-intensive branches in Italy.

  • Paper, Italy
  • Glass, ceramics, cement, Italy
  • Basic metals, Italy
  • Chemicals, Italy
  • Manufacturing, EU
  • Manufacturing, Italy

Source:Eurostat (Istat)

Show the chart data
PeriodManufacturing, ItalyManufacturing, EUChemicals, ItalyBasic metals, ItalyGlass, ceramics, cement, ItalyPaper, Italy
Jan. 2019100.399.399.996.190.098.9
Feb. 2019101.499.199.496.090.298.4
Mar. 2019100.699.3101.795.991.799.5
Apr. 201999.699.2101.194.292.797.7
May 2019100.999.6102.899.191.799.7
Jun. 2019100.398.0101.197.492.699.0
Jul. 2019100.898.2102.495.993.7100.7
Aug. 201999.798.499.293.492.2100.9
Sep. 201999.698.4100.294.791.495.9
Oct. 201998.699.0100.294.692.597.6
Nov. 201999.397.899.692.591.997.0
Dec. 201997.696.295.087.889.194.3
Jan. 202099.298.795.694.892.998.5
Feb. 202097.598.194.690.394.795.9
Mar. 202068.586.989.255.556.891.3
Apr. 202052.569.679.148.723.590.7
May 202079.079.484.980.069.288.7
Jun. 202086.187.688.983.077.990.0
Jul. 202093.792.292.687.188.292.9
Aug. 202099.493.195.995.0100.794.7
Sep. 202095.193.794.488.990.995.1
Oct. 202097.096.095.793.190.396.7
Nov. 202095.699.697.394.093.195.6
Dec. 202096.498.6100.795.694.194.7
Jan. 202197.399.8100.096.798.498.9
Feb. 202197.698.698.496.597.097.3
Mar. 202198.099.9100.795.898.398.2
Apr. 202198.7100.4100.897.696.099.4
May 202198.299.3100.2100.298.499.0
Jun. 202199.999.995.8102.997.6100.2
Jul. 2021101.0101.698.0104.1100.497.5
Aug. 2021100.099.2100.2100.799.8100.9
Sep. 2021100.699.0100.4101.9102.3100.8
Oct. 2021100.399.2100.4100.8100.6100.6
Nov. 2021101.7100.7101.1102.6101.7101.5
Dec. 2021100.5102.4100.195.5101.5100.9
Jan. 202295.2102.1101.392.791.998.1
Feb. 2022101.2102.8100.896.398.3101.1
Mar. 2022101.2101.2100.294.597.8101.9
Apr. 2022102.7101.098.6100.1102.4103.7
May 2022101.6103.697.995.2100.1103.4
Jun. 202299.6103.398.688.198.499.7
Jul. 202299.8101.893.885.595.1100.9
Aug. 2022102.2103.788.889.295.796.3
Sep. 2022100.2105.290.187.793.194.8
Oct. 202299.7104.394.185.296.595.4
Nov. 202299.8105.392.086.694.894.3
Dec. 2022100.4102.990.184.392.893.8
Jan. 202399.9104.590.583.790.292.9
Feb. 202399.7105.391.189.389.990.6
Mar. 202399.7102.489.490.187.688.2
Apr. 202398.0102.587.787.286.587.0
May 202399.0103.287.185.484.088.5
Jun. 202399.2103.885.386.584.688.7
Jul. 202398.3101.085.184.089.087.8
Aug. 202398.5100.888.686.086.589.2
Sep. 202398.2100.891.385.384.789.0
Oct. 202398.0100.192.185.483.688.4
Nov. 202396.9101.389.885.280.788.9
Dec. 202398.3100.591.589.283.393.1
Jan. 202495.799.885.783.783.288.6
Feb. 202496.9100.291.183.386.489.8
Mar. 202495.999.491.784.186.492.8
Apr. 202495.0100.385.980.283.892.6
May 202495.098.389.284.485.591.8
Jun. 202495.099.688.785.887.093.7
Jul. 202493.699.388.881.584.991.6
Aug. 202494.299.891.085.784.589.8
Sep. 202493.498.890.082.383.390.7
Oct. 202493.899.488.781.983.692.2
Nov. 202493.799.486.982.886.192.2
Dec. 202491.598.686.081.183.989.9
Jan. 202594.5100.489.286.483.493.1
Feb. 202592.8101.087.483.184.093.0
Mar. 202592.9103.588.284.182.492.0
Apr. 202593.5100.686.685.783.392.7
May 202593.2101.184.585.183.590.1
Jun. 202593.5100.785.784.983.892.2
Jul. 202594.4101.085.487.684.090.7
Aug. 202593.8101.288.087.585.992.5
Sep. 202594.2101.285.985.485.890.0
Oct. 202593.5100.882.185.784.989.0
Nov. 202594.1101.283.584.985.190.0
Dec. 202594.3101.283.086.786.289.5
Jan. 202693.099.283.188.486.490.6
Feb. 202693.9100.081.087.383.890.7
Mar. 202694.3101.080.786.786.490.4
Apr. 202694.5101.387.788.786.490.8
May 202694.1101.387.887.486.392.8
Jun. 202693.4101.284.286.685.290.1
Jul. 202693.7100.782.086.384.091.5
Aug. 202693.2100.581.985.784.790.8
Sep. 202693.8–78.687.585.692.1

What we know, what we don’t

What the figures establish

  • Energy prices have been rising faster in Italy than in the euro area since summer 2026.
  • No gas imports from Qatar have been recorded since spring 2026; US liquefied gas is increasing.
  • Electricity for Italian businesses remains dearer than the European average, and energy-intensive industries produce less than in 2021.

What they don’t tell

  • Half-yearly prices for the second half of 2026, not yet published: they will show whether bills followed energy inflation.
  • The origins of gas in 2025 and 2026, published by Eurostat a year later.
  • The effect of the war on output: these series do not separate the energy shock from other causes (demand, exchange rate, orders).

Stay up to date

This dossier is updated at least once a quarter with the new figures. Follow it to get a notification at each update.

Sources

Series downloaded from their producers on Nov 12, 2026, the snapshot date. Only published periods are used: no projection.

  • Eurostat Imports of natural gas by partner country, annual and monthly (nrg_ti_gas, nrg_ti_gasm)
  • Eurostat Electricity and gas prices for household and non-household consumers (nrg_pc_202, nrg_pc_203, nrg_pc_204, nrg_pc_205)
  • Eurostat (Istat) Harmonised index of consumer prices, energy, annual rate of change (prc_hicp_minr)
  • Eurostat (Istat) Production in industry, monthly, calendar and seasonally adjusted (sts_inpr_m)