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  1. United States
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  3. Record in office

Donald Trump: the record in figures

First term (2017-2021) and second term since January 2025: what has improved, what has worsened, and were the campaign promises kept?

Citoyen·Data as of Nov 9, 2026

Scope: United States, from 20 January 2017 to 20 January 2021 and from 20 January 2025 to 9 November 2026; comparison with the OECD as a whole over the same periods.

Key points

Time in office5 years and 9 monthsover 2 terms, the first from Jan 20, 2017
Indicators that improved8 / 13out of 13 judged · 2nd term (since 2025)
Unemployment rate0.0 pt4.1% (Dec 2024) → 4.1% (Oct 2026)
Public debt (% of GDP)+2.5 pts123.4% (2024) → 125.9% (2025)
  • Faster growth than in the OECD, over both terms. Real GDP +7.7% between end-2016 and end-2020 (OECD +4.6%), +8.7% before Covid; +4.1% between end-2024 and Q3 2026 (OECD +2.8% to mid-2026).
  • The first term ends with the Covid shock: unemployment at 3.5% in February 2020, 14.8% in April, 6.7% in December (4.7% at end-2016); life expectancy down 1.6 years between 2016 and 2020 (OECD −0.9 years).
  • Debt and deficit: the steepest rise in the OECD in the first term. Public debt goes from 107.1% to 132.3% of GDP between 2016 and 2020 (OECD +16.7 points); the deficit reaches 15.0% of GDP in 2020. In 2025 it is back to 7.3% (OECD estimate) and debt rises to 125.9%.
  • Since 2025, calmer prices than the OECD average (+6.8% between December 2024 and September 2026, OECD +8.0%), unemployment stable at 4.1%, but real disposable income per capita growing less (+0.9%, OECD +1.5%).

The record in figures, period by period

Pick a period: each indicator is read between the last figure published before the term began and the last one before it ended (or the latest one for a term still running), and compared with the OECD as a whole over exactly the same window.

Period

8 improved, 4 worsened, 1 stable, 3 without value judgement

Not shown, no figure published for this period yet: Life expectancy at birth.

How to read the charts: United States (blue) and the OECD (grey) start from the same point at the beginning of the selected period, 0 for a rate (change in points), 100 for a level. Light line: before the period. Bands: the terms of office.

Economy

  • Real GDP▲Improved
    ▲+4.1%OECD: +2.8%

    $24,913bn PPP (Q4 2024) → $25,935bn PPP (Q3 2026)

    before1st term1002015201820212024● US +4.1%● OECD +2.8%

    better than the OECD · latest published figure

    Cumulative growth of inflation-adjusted GDP (chain-linked volumes, seasonally adjusted quarterly data, in purchasing-power-parity dollars to compare with the OECD total).

    See the card: GDP growthSource: OECD QNA (B1GQ, USD PPP, chain-linked volumes)

  • Real GDP per capita▲Improved
    ▲+2.0%OECD: +1.7%

    125.2 (Q4 2024) → 127.7 (Q1 2026)

    before1st term1002015201820212024● US +2.0%● OECD +1.7%

    better than the OECD · latest published figure

    Quarterly index of real GDP per inhabitant (OECD household dashboard).

    Source: OECD Household dashboard (B1GQ_R_POP)

  • Manufacturing output▲Improved
    ▲+3.1%OECD: +2.4%

    95.2 (Dec 2024) → 98.1 (Sep 2026)

    before1st term1002015201820212024● US +3.1%● OECD +2.4%

    better than the OECD · latest published figure

    Manufacturing production index, monthly, seasonally adjusted.

    See the card: Industrial productionSource: OECD KEI (PRVM, manufacturing)

Jobs

  • Unemployment rate=Stable
    =0.0 ptOECD: +0.1 pt

    4.1% (Dec 2024) → 4.1% (Oct 2026)

    before1st term02015201820212024● US 0.0 pt● OECD +0.1 pt

    better than the OECD · latest published figure

    Unemployed as % of the labour force, OECD harmonised (ILO) definition, monthly, seasonally adjusted.

    See the card: Unemployment rate (ILO)Source: OECD KEI (UNEMP)

  • Unemployment, aged 15-24▼Worsened
    ▲+0.9 ptOECD: +0.5 pt

    9.0% (Dec 2024) → 9.9% (Sep 2026)

    before1st term02015201820212024● US +0.9 pt● OECD +0.5 pt

    worse than the OECD · latest published figure

    See the card: Youth unemployment (15-24)Source: OECD Labour Force Statistics (15-24)

  • Employment rate, aged 15-64▲Improved
    ▲+0.2 ptOECD: +0.2 pt

    71.8% (Q4 2024) → 71.9% (Q3 2026)

    before1st term02015201820212024● US +0.2 pt● OECD +0.2 pt

    worse than the OECD · latest published figure

    Share of 15-64 year-olds in employment, quarterly, seasonally adjusted.

    See the card: Employment rate (15-64)Source: OECD Labour Force Statistics (15-64)

  • Employment rate, aged 55-64▲Improved
    ▲+0.9 ptOECD: +0.7 pt

    64.3% (Q4 2024) → 65.2% (Q3 2026)

    before1st term02015201820212024● US +0.9 pt● OECD +0.7 pt

    better than the OECD · latest published figure

    See the card: Senior employment rate (55-64)Source: OECD Labour Force Statistics (55-64)

Prices and purchasing power

  • Consumer prices·No judgement
    ▲+6.8%OECD: +8.0%

    133.2 (Dec 2024) → 142.2 (Sep 2026)

    before1st term1002015201820212024● US +6.8%● OECD +8.0%

    better than the OECD · latest published figure

    Cumulative rise of the national consumer price index. A smaller rise than in the OECD reads as an advantage.

    See the card: Inflation (CPI)Source: OECD Prices (CPI, 2015 = 100)

  • Real disposable income per capita▲Improved
    ▲+0.9%OECD: +1.5%

    131.5 (Q4 2024) → 132.7 (Q1 2026)

    before1st term1002015201820212024● US +0.9%● OECD +1.5%

    worse than the OECD · latest published figure

    Purchasing power of households’ gross disposable income, per inhabitant (OECD quarterly index).

    See the card: Real disposable income per capitaSource: OECD Household dashboard (B6GS1M_R_POP)

Public finances

  • Budget balance (% of GDP)▲Improved
    ▲+0.6 ptOECD: +0.3 pt

    −7.9% (2024) → −7.3% (2025)

    before1st term02015201820212024● US +0.6 pt● OECD +0.3 pt

    better than the OECD · latest published figure

    General government net lending or borrowing (all levels of government, not only the central government). Negative = deficit. Latest year: OECD estimate.

    See the card: Budget balanceSource: OECD Economic Outlook 119 (NLGQ)

  • Public debt (% of GDP)▼Worsened
    ▲+2.5 ptsOECD: +0.5 pt

    123.4% (2024) → 125.9% (2025)

    before1st term02015201820212024● US +2.5 pts● OECD +0.5 pt

    worse than the OECD · latest published figure

    General government gross financial liabilities (national accounts). Latest year: OECD estimate.

    See the card: Public debtSource: OECD Economic Outlook 119 (GGFLQ)

  • Public spending (% of GDP)·No judgement
    ▲+0.2 ptOECD: +0.2 pt

    39.7% (2024) → 39.8% (2025)

    before1st term02015201820212024● US +0.2 pt● OECD +0.2 pt

    latest published figure

    No value judgement: its level is a collective choice.

    See the card: Public spendingSource: OECD Economic Outlook 119 (YPGTQ)

  • Public revenue (% of GDP)·No judgement
    ▲+0.8 ptOECD: +0.5 pt

    31.7% (2024) → 32.5% (2025)

    before1st term02015201820212024● US +0.8 pt● OECD +0.5 pt

    latest published figure

    Taxes, contributions and other general government revenue. No value judgement.

    See the card: Government revenueSource: OECD Economic Outlook 119 (YRGTQ)

Social cohesion and education

  • Income inequality (Gini index)▼Worsened
    ▲+0.1 ptOECD: n/a

    48.9 (2024) → 49.0 (2025)

    before1st term02015201820212024● US +0.1 pt

    latest published figure

    Household money income before taxes (Census Bureau, CPS survey): 0 = perfect equality, 100 = one household gets everything. No OECD-wide equivalent.

    See the card: Gini indexSource: US Census Bureau CPS ASEC table H-4

Climate and energy

  • Greenhouse gas emissions▼Worsened
    ▲+2.2%OECD: +0.9%

    5,887 Mt (2024) → 6,018 Mt (2025)

    before1st term1002015201820212024● US +2.2%● OECD +0.9%

    worse than the OECD · latest published figure

    Excluding land use (LULUCF), million tonnes CO₂ equivalent (EDGAR, European Commission, 2026 edition).

    Source: EDGAR (JRC) GHG emissions 2026

  • Renewables share of electricity▲Improved
    ▲+3.0 ptsOECD: +2.3 pts

    24.1% (Dec 2024) → 27.1% (Oct 2026)

    before1st term02015201820212024● US +3.0 pts● OECD +2.3 pts

    better than the OECD · latest published figure

    Share of renewables in electricity generation over the last 12 months (Ember, monthly data).

    Source: Ember Monthly electricity data (12 months)

Reading: “Improved” / “Worsened” gives the direction of the change for a citizen (less unemployment, more jobs…), not a cause. An indicator whose level is a political choice (spending, revenue) is shown without judgement. A change whose window covers less than half of the span between its two figures is not shown (too early to judge). Sources: OECD, World Bank, EDGAR, Ember, data extracted on 9 November 2026.

Show the full table of indicators for the selected period
2nd term (since 2025)
IndicatorStart of periodEnd of periodChangeOECD (same period)Reading
Real GDP$24,913bn PPP (Q4 2024)$25,935bn PPP (Q3 2026)+4.1%+2.8%Improved
Real GDP per capita125.2 (Q4 2024)127.7 (Q1 2026)+2.0%+1.7%Improved
Manufacturing output95.2 (Dec 2024)98.1 (Sep 2026)+3.1%+2.4%Improved
Unemployment rate4.1% (Dec 2024)4.1% (Oct 2026)0.0 pt+0.1 ptStable
Unemployment, aged 15-249.0% (Dec 2024)9.9% (Sep 2026)+0.9 pt+0.5 ptWorsened
Employment rate, aged 15-6471.8% (Q4 2024)71.9% (Q3 2026)+0.2 pt+0.2 ptImproved
Employment rate, aged 55-6464.3% (Q4 2024)65.2% (Q3 2026)+0.9 pt+0.7 ptImproved
Consumer prices133.2 (Dec 2024)142.2 (Sep 2026)+6.8%+8.0%No judgement
Real disposable income per capita131.5 (Q4 2024)132.7 (Q1 2026)+0.9%+1.5%Improved
Budget balance (% of GDP)−7.9% (2024)−7.3% (2025)+0.6 pt+0.3 ptImproved
Public debt (% of GDP)123.4% (2024)125.9% (2025)+2.5 pts+0.5 ptWorsened
Public spending (% of GDP)39.7% (2024)39.8% (2025)+0.2 pt+0.2 ptNo judgement
Public revenue (% of GDP)31.7% (2024)32.5% (2025)+0.8 pt+0.5 ptNo judgement
Greenhouse gas emissions5,887 Mt (2024)6,018 Mt (2025)+2.2%+0.9%Worsened
Renewables share of electricity24.1% (Dec 2024)27.1% (Oct 2026)+3.0 pts+2.3 ptsImproved
Income inequality (Gini index)48.9 (2024)49.0 (2025)+0.1 pt–Worsened

Strengths and weaknesses

What the data say, term by term. The first term is read from end-2016 to end-2020 (Covid crisis included), the second from end-2024 to the latest published figure.

What improved

  1. Growth. GDP +7.7% in the first term (OECD +4.6%) and +4.1% since end-2024 (OECD +2.8%); real GDP per capita +5.6% then +2.0%, above the OECD each time.
  2. Household income in the first term. Real disposable income per capita +13.7% between end-2016 and end-2020 (OECD +8.6%), lifted in 2020 by emergency transfers.
  3. Inflation since 2025. Consumer prices +6.8% since December 2024, against +8.0% in the OECD; manufacturing output rises 3.1% (OECD +2.4%).
  4. A slightly smaller deficit in 2025. Government net borrowing goes from 7.9% to 7.3% of GDP between 2024 and 2025 (OECD estimate), with revenue up from 31.7% to 32.5% of GDP.

What worsened

  1. Public debt. +25.1 points of GDP in the first term (107.1% → 132.3%, OECD +16.7) and +2.5 points in 2025 (123.4% → 125.9%), while it is stable in the OECD.
  2. Jobs at the end of the first term. Unemployment 4.7% → 6.7%, employment rate of 15-64 year-olds 69.6% → 68.0%, manufacturing output −2.9% between end-2016 and end-2020, worse than the OECD.
  3. Life expectancy. 78.5 years in 2016, 77.0 years in 2020 (−1.6 years, OECD −0.9 years).
  4. Emissions in 2025. Greenhouse gas emissions rise 2.2% between 2024 and 2025 (OECD +0.9%), after −8.7% in the first term (2016-2020, like the OECD).
  5. Young people and income since 2025. Unemployment of 15-24 year-olds 9.0% → 9.9%; real disposable income per capita +0.9% (OECD +1.5%).

The promises: kept or not?

The main quantified or verifiable promises of the 2016 and 2024 campaigns, and what became of them. The status rests on the laws passed, the executive orders and the official figures cited as sources; “in progress” flags a promise of the current term whose deadline has not passed.

17 commitments reviewed ·Kept · 4Partly kept · 3In progress · 3Not kept · 7

2016 campaign

  • Partly keptImmigration

    Fund the construction of a wall on the southern border, with Mexico reimbursing the United States for its full cost.

    On 5 January 2021, the Department of Homeland Security announces the 450th mile of “new border wall system” built since 2017; most of it replaced existing barriers. Funding came from appropriations voted by Congress and $6.1bn redirected from the Defense budget after the February 2019 national emergency declaration. Mexico did not pay.[1],[7],[8]

  • Not keptHealth

    Fully repeal Obamacare (the Affordable Care Act) and replace it with Health Savings Accounts.

    On 28 July 2017 the Senate rejects, by 49 votes to 51, the Majority Leader’s amendment No. 667 to the repeal bill (H.R. 1628, American Health Care Act). The December 2017 tax law sets the penalty for not being insured (the “individual mandate”) to zero from 2019, but the law was neither repealed nor replaced.[1],[9],[10]

  • Partly keptTaxes

    Cut taxes for the middle class and lower the corporate tax rate from 35% to 15%.

    The tax law (Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, Public Law 115-97) is signed on 22 December 2017. It sets the corporate tax rate at 21%, not 15%, and cuts income tax rates for the years 2018 to 2025 only.[1],[10]

  • Not keptPublic finances

    Get rid of the $19 trillion federal debt “over a period of eight years” (Washington Post interview, 2016).

    According to the Treasury, total federal public debt went from $19.95 trillion on 20 January 2017 to $27.75 trillion on 20 January 2021, the 2020 Covid crisis included. It rose during the term.[3],[11]

  • Not keptGrowth and jobs

    An economic plan designed to grow the economy 4% per year and create at least 25 million new jobs.

    According to the BEA (current data), real GDP grew 2.5% in 2017, 3.0% in 2018 and 2.6% in 2019, then shrank 2.1% in 2020. Nonfarm payroll employment went from 145.6 million in January 2017 to 152.3 million in February 2020 (+6.7 million), then to 142.9 million in January 2021 after the Covid-19 shock (BLS).[1],[12],[13]

  • KeptTrade

    Withdraw the United States from the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) and totally renegotiate NAFTA.

    A presidential memorandum of 23 January 2017 withdraws the United States from the TPP. The United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), which replaces NAFTA, enters into force on 1 July 2020.[1],[14],[15]

  • KeptClimate

    Leave the Paris climate agreement (“cancel” it, in the candidate’s words in May 2016).

    The United States notifies the UN of its withdrawal on 4 November 2019; it takes effect on 4 November 2020. The country rejoins the agreement on 20 January 2021, then notifies a new withdrawal on 27 January 2025, effective 27 January 2026.[4],[16],[33]

  • Not keptEnergy

    Save the coal industry (“we’re going to save that coal industry”) by lifting environmental regulations.

    According to the BLS, coal mining employment went from 51,000 in January 2017 to a peak of 52,200 between December 2018 and March 2019, then to 38,000 in January 2021.[4],[17]

2024 campaign

  • KeptTrade

    Support baseline tariffs on foreign-made goods (2024 Republican platform).

    An additional 10% duty applies to all imports from 5 April 2025 (IEEPA). After the Supreme Court ruling of 20 February 2026, a 10% surcharge (section 122) replaces it from 24 February to 24 July 2026, then duties of 10% or 12.5% (section 301) on 60 economies from 24 July 2026.[2],[18],[20],[22],[23]

  • In progressImmigration

    Carry out “the largest deportation operation in American history”.

    DHS has not published detailed deportation statistics since January 2025. According to the Migration Policy Institute (October 2026), about 980,000 deportations (removals and returns, ICE and CBP) took place between 20 January 2025 and 31 July 2026, 69% of them of people intercepted at the border: an annual pace above the Biden administration and the first term, but well below the levels of the early 2000s.[2],[24]

  • In progressImmigration

    “Seal the border, and stop the migrant invasion”.

    According to CBP, southwest border encounters went from 2,135,005 in fiscal year 2024 (October 2023 to September 2024) to 139,983 in fiscal year 2026, i.e. between 9,600 and 13,600 a month in 2026, against 96,033 in December 2024. A national emergency at the southern border is declared on 20 January 2025.[2],[25],[26]

  • Partly keptTaxes

    No tax on tips, no tax on overtime and no tax on Social Security benefits.

    The budget law signed on 4 July 2025 (Public Law 119-21) creates, for tax years 2025 to 2028, a deduction capped at $25,000 for tips and at $12,500 ($25,000 for a couple) for overtime premium pay, phased out above $150,000 of income ($300,000 for a couple), plus a $6,000 deduction per person aged 65 or over. Social Security benefits remain taxable as such.[2],[5],[27]

  • KeptTaxes

    Make permanent the provisions of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act.

    Public Law 119-21 of 4 July 2025 removes the end-2025 expiry of the reduced income tax rates and of the higher standard deduction, which now apply with no end date from 2026.[2],[27]

  • Not keptPrices

    “End inflation, and make America affordable again”.

    According to the BLS, consumer price inflation over 12 months was 3.0% in January 2025; it reached 3.7% in September 2026 (latest figure, published on 14 October 2026). So far, inflation has not come down.[2],[28],[29]

  • Not keptForeign policy

    End the war in Ukraine within 24 hours (“I’ll get that done within 24 hours”, July 2023, one of at least 53 such statements counted by CNN).

    The war goes on. At the end of October 2026, only a local ceasefire has been agreed (in Oleshky, from 27 October) and technical talks between Ukraine, Russia and the United States are planned for the first half of November; there is no general ceasefire and no peace agreement (Reuters).[6],[30]

  • Not keptPublic finances

    Slash wasteful government spending; a “Department of Government Efficiency” (DOGE) is set up by executive order on 20 January 2025.

    According to the Treasury, federal outlays went from $6,752bn in fiscal year 2024 to $7,010bn in fiscal year 2025 and $7,396bn in fiscal year 2026 (ended 30 September). The fiscal year 2026 deficit reaches $1,992bn, against $1,833bn in 2024. Total spending did not fall.[2],[31],[32]

  • In progressEnergy

    “DRILL, BABY, DRILL” and make America the dominant energy producer in the world.

    According to the EIA, US crude oil production, already at a record level at the end of 2024 (13.53 million barrels a day in December), reached a new high of 14.00 million in October 2025; it stood at 13.97 million in August 2026 (latest month published).[2],[34]

The context: the events of the period

A record is not read out of context: the 2020 pandemic and the trade shocks weighed on the whole OECD, hence the comparison.

  1. December 18, 2019

    First impeachment

    The House of Representatives adopts two articles of impeachment (abuse of power, obstruction of Congress). On 5 February 2020 the Senate acquits the president (48 votes to 52 on the first article, a two-thirds majority being required).[35],[36],[37]

  2. March 13, 2020

    Covid-19 declared a national emergency

    The president proclaims a national emergency over Covid-19. Nonfarm payroll employment falls from 152.3 million in February 2020 to 130.4 million in April (BLS) and real GDP shrinks by 2.1% over 2020 (BEA): the end of the first term is read through this shock.[38],[13],[12]

  3. January 6, 2021

    The Capitol attack and the second impeachment

    On 6 January 2021, during the joint session of Congress counting the Electoral College votes, the Capitol is overrun. On 13 January the House adopts an article of impeachment for “incitement of insurrection”; on 13 February the Senate votes 57 to 43 for conviction, short of the required two thirds.[39],[40],[41]

  4. April 2, 2025

    The “reciprocal” tariffs

    An executive order based on an economic emergency law (IEEPA) imposes an additional 10% duty on all imports from 5 April 2025, then higher country-specific rates from 9 April. On that same 9 April, the country rates are suspended for 90 days, except for China.[18],[19]

  5. October 1, 2025

    The longest federal government shutdown

    With no appropriations passed, part of the federal government shuts down on 1 October 2025. The funding law ending it is signed on 12 November, 43 days later, the longest shutdown in the country’s history; the extension of the enhanced health insurance (ACA) subsidies, at the heart of the dispute, is not in it.[42]

  6. February 20, 2026

    The Supreme Court and the tariffs

    By six votes to three, the Supreme Court rules that the IEEPA does not authorise the president to impose tariffs. The same day, a temporary 10% surcharge is ordered on another legal basis (section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974), for 150 days from 24 February 2026.[20],[21],[22]

The reforms Citoyen follows

The major reforms of the period that have their own detailed factsheet (timeline, measures, debate, indicators to follow).

United States·Economy & public finances

« One Big Beautiful Bill Act » (Public Law 119-21): tax cuts, Medicaid and SNAP changes, higher debt limit

The 2025 budget reconciliation law, signed on 4 July 2025, makes the 2017 tax cuts permanent, adds temporary deductions for tips, overtime and seniors, raises the cap on the state and local tax deduction, adds work requirements to Medicaid and SNAP, phases out several clean-energy tax credits, funds immigration enforcement and defense, and raises the federal debt limit by $5 trillion. The CBO estimates it adds $3.4 trillion to deficits over 2025–2034 relative to its January 2025 baseline. Known as the « One Big Beautiful Bill Act », it has no official short title: the Senate struck it before passage.

In forceProvisions take effect on staggered dates, from 2025 to 2030 and beyond.
Updated: November 3, 2026
United States·Economy & public finances

2025 emergency tariffs (IEEPA): “Liberation Day” reciprocal tariffs and fentanyl duties, struck down by the Supreme Court

In 2025 the President used the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) to impose additional duties: 25% on Canadian and Mexican goods and 10% on Chinese goods over fentanyl flows (February), then a 10% duty on almost all imports plus higher country-specific rates under Executive Order 14257 of 2 April 2025. On 20 February 2026 the Supreme Court held that IEEPA does not authorize the President to impose tariffs. The duties were terminated, refunds to importers began in April 2026, and the administration switched to other legal bases: a temporary 10% surcharge under Section 122, then Section 301 duties from 24 July 2026.

Struck downReciprocal and fentanyl duties held unlawful (6-3). The same day, Executive Order 14389 ended their collection; Section 232 and 301 duties are not affected.
Updated: November 3, 2026
United States·Justice

First Step Act of 2018: federal prison and sentencing reform

Signed on 21 December 2018, the First Step Act lets federal prisoners earn time credits (10 to 15 days per 30 days of recidivism-reduction programmes, assigned by a risk assessment tool (PATTERN)) toward home confinement or early supervised release. It also cuts some mandatory minimum sentences for repeat drug offences, broadens the « safety valve », makes the 2010 Fair Sentencing Act retroactive and bans restraints on pregnant prisoners. It applies to the federal system only, not to state prisons.

In forcePhased implementation: risk tool released in July 2019, time-credit rule in force since January 2022, revised in 2026.
Updated: November 3, 2026
United States·Defense

National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2026 (Public Law 119-60): $890.6 billion authorized, acquisition reform, troop floors in Europe and Korea

The annual defense authorization law for fiscal year 2026 (1 October 2025 – 30 September 2026), signed on 18 December 2025, authorizes $890.6 billion for national defense programs within the Armed Services Committees’ jurisdiction, $8 billion above the President’s request. It sets active-duty end strengths, rewrites defense acquisition around « portfolio acquisition executives », writes the « Golden Dome for America » missile defense policy into law, extends Ukraine aid authority to 2029, bars funds from reducing U.S. forces in Europe below 76,000 or in South Korea below 28,500 before a certification, and repeals the 1991 and 2002 Iraq war authorizations. An authorization act does not appropriate money: the funds themselves were provided by the Department of Defense Appropriations Act, 2026, enacted on 3 February 2026.

In forceAuthorizes appropriations for fiscal year 2026 (to 30 September 2026); the money itself comes from appropriations acts. Many provisions amend permanent law.
Updated: November 3, 2026

Method

Which value at the start and end of a term? The last figure whose period had ended on that date. For a term that began on 20 January 2025: December 2024 for a monthly series, Q4 2024 for a quarterly one, 2024 for an annual one. The two terms are not consecutive (Joe Biden governed from 2021 to 2025): they are read separately. A term still running ends on the latest published figure. A change is shown only if the selected period covers at least half of the span between its two figures.

Why compare with the OECD as a whole? Part of the changes comes from common shocks (Covid, energy prices, interest rates). The change of the aggregate (OECD) over the same window is a benchmark: “better” means the country did better than that reference over the period, whatever the cause.

What this record does not say. It measures changes, not causes: an indicator that improves during a term is not necessarily due to the policies pursued, and vice versa. The first term ends in the middle of the Covid-19 crisis: 2020 unemployment, deficit and debt bear its mark, as everywhere in the OECD. Balance and debt are those of general government (OECD), not the federal budget alone tracked by the Congressional Budget Office; the 2025 figure is an OECD estimate (June 2026). 2025 life expectancy is not published yet.

Sources

  • Indicators. OECD (quarterly national accounts, key economic indicators, labour force statistics, prices, household dashboard, Economic Outlook No. 119), World Bank (life expectancy), EDGAR, European Commission (emissions, 2026 edition), Ember (renewable electricity, monthly) and the Census Bureau (Gini), United States and OECD total, extracted on 9 November 2026 by scripts/analyses/build-mandate-data.py.OECD Data ExplorerWorld Bank
  • Term dates. State Department, Office of the Historian, and National Archives (Citoyen’s terms-of-office dataset).history.state.gov
  1. [1] Remarks on Proposals for the First 100 Days in Office at the Eisenhower Complex in Gettysburg, Pennsylvania (22 October 2016) · The American Presidency Project (UC Santa Barbara)
  2. [2] 2024 Republican Party Platform · The American Presidency Project (UC Santa Barbara)
  3. [3] Eliminate the federal debt in 8 years (Trump-O-Meter) · PolitiFact · secondary source
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